Handball · Poland SuperLiga Women · 14/10, 18:00

Prediction: MKS Gniezno (W) vs Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

Team pages: MKS Gniezno (W) · Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.7Total

MKS Gniezno (W)33

Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)27.7

1X2

80% 20%

MKS Gniezno (W) Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

Markets

Over 56.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

MKS Gniezno (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWLWW

Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLWLW

Head-to-head

MKS Gniezno (W) 2–0 Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) (2 last)

Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)24-32MKS Gniezno (W)
MKS Gniezno (W)42-18Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MKS Gniezno (W) 1508 · Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) 1456

	MKS Gniezno (W)	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)
Our model	67%	33%
Market	83%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 60.7 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.7MKS Gniezno (W) 33 · Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) 27.7

Over / Under 56.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~59 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MKS Gniezno (W) (rating 1508 vs 1456).
MKS Gniezno (W) is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours MKS Gniezno (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MKS Gniezno (W)	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.5 / 29.3	29.1 / 33.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 26.4	25.8 / 31
Est. result	33	28

Est. total60.7

Line O/U56.5

Diff.4.2

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.09

X13.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.80

2 (+6.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 60.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.09 → 1.09	Bet365 1.09
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:39 +36’	1.09	13.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MKS Gniezno (W) 2–0–0 Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Poland SuperLiga Women	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)	24-32	MKS Gniezno (W)
31/10/25 Poland SuperLiga Women	MKS Gniezno (W)	42-18	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

Standings · Poland SuperLiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Lublin (W)	4	4	0	140	93	12
2	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	5	4	1	160	124	12
3	MKS Piotrcovia (W)	4	4	0	115	91	12
4	KPR Kobierzyce (W)	4	3	1	124	89	9
5	MKS Gniezno (W)	5	3	2	154	132	9
6	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)	4	2	2	108	127	6
7	Start Elblag (W)	5	2	3	143	164	6
8	Galychanka Lviv (W)	5	1	4	131	154	3
9	KS APR Radom (W)	5	0	5	124	178	0
10	Sosnica Gliwice (W)	5	0	5	119	166	-6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MKS Gniezno (W)	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)
Galychanka Lviv (W)	36-26 W	33-33 D
Start Elblag (W)	34-23 W	37-36 W
KPR Kobierzyce (W)	26-38 L	21-31 L
MKS Lublin (W)	29-37 L	24-35 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MKS Gniezno (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MKS Gniezno (W)

LWWLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	36-26	W
06/10	KS APR Radom (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	38-29	W
15/09	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	25-29	L
08/09	Start Elblag (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	34-23	W
05/09	MKS Piotrcovia (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	21-25	L
23/05	KPR Kobierzyce (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	26-38	L
16/05	MKS Lublin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-37	L
01/05	Koszalin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	31-26	W
22/04	MKS Piotrcovia (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	36-31	W
19/04	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	19-29	L

Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)

LWLDWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Start Elblag (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	37-36	W
16/09	MKS Lublin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	24-35	L
12/09	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	26-25	W
05/09	KPR Kobierzyce (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	21-31	L
15/04	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	21-28	L
31/03	Start Elblag (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-28	W
23/03	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	33-33	D
16/03	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-41	L
28/02	Start Elblag (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	38-37	W
22/02	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	33-38	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MKS Gniezno (W) vs Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)?

Our model gives 80% to MKS Gniezno (W).

How many points are expected in MKS Gniezno (W) vs Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)?

The model estimates 60.7 total points (MKS Gniezno (W) 33 · Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) 27.7).

Over or under 56.5 points?

Recent history points to over 56.5 points (70%).