Handball · Poland SuperLiga Women · 15/10, 18:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin (W) vs MKS Lublin (W)

Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin (W) · MKS Lublin (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

Zaglebie Lubin (W)29

MKS Lublin (W)28.1

1X2

58% 42%

Zaglebie Lubin (W) MKS Lublin (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Zaglebie Lubin (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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MKS Lublin (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Zaglebie Lubin (W) 4–1–1 MKS Lublin (W) (6 last)

Zaglebie Lubin (W)26-26MKS Lublin (W)
Zaglebie Lubin (W)29-26MKS Lublin (W)
Zaglebie Lubin (W)26-20MKS Lublin (W)
MKS Lublin (W)25-28Zaglebie Lubin (W)
MKS Lublin (W)34-28Zaglebie Lubin (W)
Zaglebie Lubin (W)35-30MKS Lublin (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaglebie Lubin (W) 1607 · MKS Lublin (W) 1599

	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	MKS Lublin (W)
Our model	61%	39%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2Zaglebie Lubin (W) 29 · MKS Lublin (W) 28.1

Match keys

H2H favours Zaglebie Lubin (W): 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	MKS Lublin (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 24.3	32.5 / 24.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 24.8	33.2 / 24.4
Est. result	29	28

Est. total57.2

Line O/U55.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 1.1 · Est. total: 56.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:39 +37’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Lubin (W) 4–1–1 MKS Lublin (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Poland Super Cup Women	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	26-26	MKS Lublin (W)
22/05/26 Poland SuperLiga Women	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	29-26	MKS Lublin (W)
09/05/26 Poland Cup Women	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	26-20	MKS Lublin (W)
25/03/26 Poland SuperLiga Women	MKS Lublin (W)	25-28	Zaglebie Lubin (W)
14/01/26 Poland SuperLiga Women	MKS Lublin (W)	34-28	Zaglebie Lubin (W)
15/11/25 European League Qual. Women	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	35-30	MKS Lublin (W)

Standings · Poland SuperLiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Lublin (W)	4	4	0	140	93	12
2	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	5	4	1	160	124	12
3	MKS Piotrcovia (W)	4	4	0	115	91	12
4	KPR Kobierzyce (W)	4	3	1	124	89	9
5	MKS Gniezno (W)	5	3	2	154	132	9
6	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)	4	2	2	108	127	6
7	Start Elblag (W)	5	2	3	143	164	6
8	Galychanka Lviv (W)	5	1	4	131	154	3
9	KS APR Radom (W)	5	0	5	124	178	0
10	Sosnica Gliwice (W)	5	0	5	119	166	-6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	MKS Lublin (W)
KS APR Radom (W)	39-22 W	36-23 W
Sosnica Gliwice (W)	27-22 W	38-26 W
MKS Gniezno (W)	29-25 W	37-29 W
KPR Kobierzyce (W)	25-30 L	30-29 W
MKS Piotrcovia (W)	37-27 W	28-20 W
Koszalin (W)	32-25 W	39-21 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MKS Lublin (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaglebie Lubin (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	KS APR Radom (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	39-22	W
01/10	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	27-22	W
15/09	MKS Gniezno (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-25	W
12/09	KPR Kobierzyce (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	25-30	L
04/09	Start Elblag (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	40-25	W
22/05	MKS Lublin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-26	W
13/05	MKS Piotrcovia (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	37-27	W
03/05	KPR Kobierzyce (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	28-22	W
26/04	Koszalin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	32-25	W
19/04	MKS Gniezno (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-19	W

MKS Lublin (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	38-26	W
16/09	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	35-24	W
11/09	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	31-20	W
01/09	KS APR Radom (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	36-23	W
22/05	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	26-29	L
16/05	MKS Gniezno (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	37-29	W
02/05	MKS Piotrcovia (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	28-20	W
26/04	KPR Kobierzyce (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	30-29	W
19/04	Koszalin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	39-21	W
25/03	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	25-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin (W) vs MKS Lublin (W)?

Our model gives 58% to Zaglebie Lubin (W).

How many points are expected in Zaglebie Lubin (W) vs MKS Lublin (W)?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (Zaglebie Lubin (W) 29 · MKS Lublin (W) 28.1).