Handball · France Division 1 Women · 07/10, 19:30
Prediction: St Amand du Hainaut (W) vs Toulon (W)
Team pages: St Amand du Hainaut (W) · Toulon (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
54.6Total
St Amand du Hainaut (W)28.6
Toulon (W)26
1X2
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
Toulon (W)
Recent form · 10 last
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Toulon (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
3–1–2
Toulon (W)
(6 last)
- St Amand du Hainaut (W)30-26Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)25-25St Amand du Hainaut (W)
- St Amand du Hainaut (W)27-21Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)24-19St Amand du Hainaut (W)
- St Amand du Hainaut (W)33-25Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)33-27St Amand du Hainaut (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Amand du Hainaut (W) 1510 · Toulon (W) 1446
| St Amand du Hainaut (W) | Toulon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 74% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
54.6 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · -0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points54.6St Amand du Hainaut (W) 28.6 · Toulon (W) 26
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Amand du Hainaut (W) (rating 1510 vs 1446).
- St Amand du Hainaut (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours St Amand du Hainaut (W): 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| St Amand du Hainaut (W) | Toulon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 25.4 / 25.1 | 27.7 / 30.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 25 / 25.4 | 28.8 / 32.6 |
| Est. result | 29 | 26 |
Est. total54.6
Line O/U55.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Amand du Hainaut (W) 3–1–2 Toulon (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 France Division 1 Women | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 30-26 | Toulon (W) |
| 10/09/25 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 25-25 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
| 20/04/25 France Division 1 Women | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 27-21 | Toulon (W) |
| 29/01/25 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 24-19 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
| 27/03/24 France Division 1 Women | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 33-25 | Toulon (W) |
| 07/10/23 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 33-27 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metz (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 90 | 12 |
| 2 | Brest (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 124 | 104 | 10 |
| 3 | ESBF Besancon (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 99 | 10 |
| 4 | Strasbourg (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 107 | 104 | 10 |
| 5 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 115 | 113 | 8 |
| 6 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 104 | 105 | 8 |
| 7 | Chambray Touraine (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 103 | 98 | 8 |
| 8 | Plan De Cuques (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 103 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 104 | 121 | 6 |
| 10 | Stella St Maur (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 93 | 123 | 6 |
| 11 | Toulon (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 109 | 130 | 5 |
| 12 | Paris 92 (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 105 | 144 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | Toulon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| ESBF Besancon (W) | 25-26 L | 35-38 L |
| Strasbourg (W) | 20-27 L | 19-25 L |
| Havre Athletic Club (W) | 30-19 W | 35-33 W |
| Metz (W) | 19-31 L | 28-43 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: St Amand du Hainaut (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-26 | L |
| 09/09 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-29 | W |
| 03/09 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-23 | W |
| 29/08 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
20-27 | L |
| 31/05 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
21-22 | L |
| 27/05 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
30-19 | W |
| 10/05 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
30-26 | W |
| 06/05 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-31 | L |
| 02/05 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-21 | L |
| 24/04 | Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women |
31-27 | W |
Toulon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-43 | L |
| 11/09 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-32 | D |
| 04/09 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-29 | L |
| 29/08 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-26 | L |
| 31/05 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
35-33 | W |
| 27/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-25 | L |
| 16/05 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-25 | L |
| 10/05 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
26-30 | L |
| 06/05 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
34-28 | W |
| 25/04 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
35-38 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Amand du Hainaut (W) vs Toulon (W)?
Our model gives 76% to St Amand du Hainaut (W).
How many points are expected in St Amand du Hainaut (W) vs Toulon (W)?
The model estimates 54.6 total points (St Amand du Hainaut (W) 28.6 · Toulon (W) 26).