Handball · France Division 1 Women · 09/10, 20:30
Prediction: Stella St Maur (W) vs Strasbourg (W)
Team pages: Stella St Maur (W) · Strasbourg (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
54.4Total
Stella St Maur (W)26
Strasbourg (W)28.4
1X2
Stella St Maur (W)
Strasbourg (W)
Markets
Over 51.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Stella St Maur (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Strasbourg (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stella St Maur (W)
1–5
Strasbourg (W)
(6 last)
- Stella St Maur (W)24-28Strasbourg (W)
- Strasbourg (W)26-22Stella St Maur (W)
- Stella St Maur (W)25-18Strasbourg (W)
- Strasbourg (W)29-24Stella St Maur (W)
- Stella St Maur (W)24-28Strasbourg (W)
- Strasbourg (W)27-25Stella St Maur (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stella St Maur (W) 1444 · Strasbourg (W) 1490
| Stella St Maur (W) | Strasbourg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
54.4 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +2.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points54.4Stella St Maur (W) 26 · Strasbourg (W) 28.4
Over / Under 51.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~54.2 pts · strength 3
Match keys
- H2H favours Strasbourg (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Stella St Maur (W) | Strasbourg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 26.6 / 32.2 | 26.4 / 26 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 24.4 / 31 | 25.4 / 27.4 |
| Est. result | 26 | 28 |
Est. total54.4
Line O/U51.5
Diff.2.9
Over / Under70% / 30%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stella St Maur (W) 1–0–5 Strasbourg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 France Division 1 Women | Stella St Maur (W) | 24-28 | Strasbourg (W) |
| 14/01/26 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 26-22 | Stella St Maur (W) |
| 27/04/25 France Division 1 Women | Stella St Maur (W) | 25-18 | Strasbourg (W) |
| 12/02/25 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 29-24 | Stella St Maur (W) |
| 24/01/24 France Division 1 Women | Stella St Maur (W) | 24-28 | Strasbourg (W) |
| 16/09/23 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 27-25 | Stella St Maur (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metz (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 121 | 15 |
| 2 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 135 | 129 | 11 |
| 3 | Brest (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 155 | 137 | 11 |
| 4 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 145 | 136 | 11 |
| 5 | ESBF Besancon (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 99 | 10 |
| 6 | Strasbourg (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 107 | 104 | 10 |
| 7 | Chambray Touraine (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 103 | 98 | 8 |
| 8 | Plan De Cuques (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 103 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 127 | 151 | 7 |
| 10 | Stella St Maur (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 93 | 123 | 6 |
| 11 | Toulon (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 133 | 161 | 6 |
| 12 | Paris 92 (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 105 | 144 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stella St Maur (W) | Strasbourg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Plan De Cuques (W) | 18-26 L | 24-34 L |
| Toulon (W) | 29-27 W | 25-19 W |
| Nice (W) | 24-34 L | 29-28 W |
| Paris 92 (W) | 29-32 L | 29-28 W |
| Metz (W) | 25-50 L | 20-33 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stella St Maur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
18-26 | L |
| 11/09 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-36 | L |
| 04/09 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-27 | W |
| 29/08 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-34 | L |
| 31/05 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-32 | L |
| 27/05 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-26 | W |
| 16/05 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-50 | L |
| 10/05 | Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women |
40-29 | W |
| 06/05 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-34 | L |
| 24/04 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-28 | L |
Strasbourg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-28 | W |
| 09/09 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-28 | L |
| 04/09 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-28 | W |
| 29/08 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-20 | W |
| 31/05 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
20-33 | L |
| 27/05 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-19 | W |
| 16/05 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-34 | L |
| 09/05 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
18-22 | L |
| 06/05 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
42-24 | W |
| 24/04 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-24 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stella St Maur (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?
Our model gives 61% to Strasbourg (W).
How many points are expected in Stella St Maur (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?
The model estimates 54.4 total points (Stella St Maur (W) 26 · Strasbourg (W) 28.4).
Over or under 51.5 points?
Recent history points to over 51.5 points (70%).