Handball · France Division 1 Women · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Nice (W) vs Brest (W)

Team pages: Nice (W) · Brest (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.2Total

Nice (W)25.6

Brest (W)29.6

1X2

25% 75%

Nice (W) Brest (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Nice (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLLLL

Brest (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Nice (W) 0–6 Brest (W) (6 last)

Nice (W)22-32Brest (W)
Brest (W)39-23Nice (W)
Nice (W)29-38Brest (W)
Brest (W)40-29Nice (W)
Nice (W)26-34Brest (W)
Brest (W)33-27Nice (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nice (W) 1474 · Brest (W) 1565

	Nice (W)	Brest (W)
Our model	47%	53%
Market	9%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 55.2 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.2Nice (W) 25.6 · Brest (W) 29.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brest (W) (rating 1474 vs 1565).
Brest (W) is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Brest (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nice (W)	Brest (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.1 / 27.7	32.5 / 26.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.2 / 31.2	33 / 28.4
Est. result	26	30

Est. total55.2

Line O/U59.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

19.50

X15.00

21.06

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.85

2 (-7.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 55.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +17’	9.50	15.00	1.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nice (W) 0–0–6 Brest (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	22-32	Brest (W)
08/10/25 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	39-23	Nice (W)
14/03/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	29-38	Brest (W)
02/11/24 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	40-29	Nice (W)
21/04/24 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	26-34	Brest (W)
31/10/23 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	33-27	Nice (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	6	6	0	0	235	143	18
2	ESBF Besancon (W)	6	4	0	2	168	165	14
3	Brest (W)	6	4	0	2	193	163	14
4	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	6	4	0	2	169	157	14
5	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	6	4	0	2	162	150	14
6	Chambray Touraine (W)	6	4	0	2	169	138	14
7	Strasbourg (W)	6	3	1	2	156	156	13
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	6	3	0	3	150	162	12
9	Stella St Maur (W)	6	1	1	4	138	186	9
10	Nice (W)	6	1	0	5	155	180	8
11	Toulon (W)	6	0	1	5	159	199	7
12	Paris 92 (W)	6	0	1	5	151	206	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nice (W)	Brest (W)
Plan De Cuques (W)	28-29 L	26-27 L
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	23-30 L	33-32 W
Metz (W)	19-41 L	31-33 L
ESBF Besancon (W)	30-26 W	28-21 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brest (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nice (W)

WWLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	28-29	L
07/10	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	23-30	L
16/09	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	28-29	L
09/09	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	19-41	L
03/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	23-27	L
29/08	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	34-24	W
31/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	22-21	W
27/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	22-32	L
15/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	30-26	W
09/05	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	22-18	W

Brest (W)

WWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	38-26	W
07/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	31-33	L
16/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	37-24	W
09/09	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
02/09	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W
29/08	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-21	W
31/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	43-25	W
27/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	32-22	W
15/05	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-26	W
09/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	28-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nice (W) vs Brest (W)?

Our model gives 75% to Brest (W).

How many points are expected in Nice (W) vs Brest (W)?

The model estimates 55.2 total points (Nice (W) 25.6 · Brest (W) 29.6).