Handball · France Division 1 Women · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Strasbourg (W) vs ESBF Besancon (W)

Team pages: Strasbourg (W) · ESBF Besancon (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

52.9Total

Strasbourg (W)26.2

ESBF Besancon (W)26.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Strasbourg (W) ESBF Besancon (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Strasbourg (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLWDL

ESBF Besancon (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Strasbourg (W) 1–5 ESBF Besancon (W) (6 last)

Strasbourg (W)29-21ESBF Besancon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)31-22Strasbourg (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)31-20Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)20-28ESBF Besancon (W)
Strasbourg (W)23-30ESBF Besancon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)32-25Strasbourg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strasbourg (W) 1466 · ESBF Besancon (W) 1517

	Strasbourg (W)	ESBF Besancon (W)
Our model	53%	47%
Market	39%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 52.9 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points52.9Strasbourg (W) 26.2 · ESBF Besancon (W) 26.7

Match keys

H2H favours ESBF Besancon (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Strasbourg (W)	ESBF Besancon (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24.3 / 26.4	28.1 / 28.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.8 / 27.2	29.4 / 27.4
Est. result	26	27

Est. total52.9

Line O/U52.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.35

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 52.51.85

Under 52.51.85

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 53.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +24’	2.35	8.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg (W) 1–0–5 ESBF Besancon (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	29-21	ESBF Besancon (W)
10/09/25 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	31-22	Strasbourg (W)
29/03/25 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	31-20	Strasbourg (W)
08/01/25 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	20-28	ESBF Besancon (W)
27/03/24 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	23-30	ESBF Besancon (W)
09/09/23 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	32-25	Strasbourg (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	6	6	0	0	235	143	18
2	ESBF Besancon (W)	6	4	0	2	168	165	14
3	Brest (W)	6	4	0	2	193	163	14
4	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	6	4	0	2	169	157	14
5	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	6	4	0	2	162	150	14
6	Chambray Touraine (W)	6	4	0	2	169	138	14
7	Strasbourg (W)	6	3	1	2	156	156	13
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	6	3	0	3	150	162	12
9	Stella St Maur (W)	6	1	1	4	138	186	9
10	Nice (W)	6	1	0	5	155	180	8
11	Toulon (W)	6	0	1	5	159	199	7
12	Paris 92 (W)	6	0	1	5	151	206	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strasbourg (W)	ESBF Besancon (W)
Stella St Maur (W)	28-28 D	36-22 W
Nice (W)	29-28 W	26-30 L
Chambray Touraine (W)	22-28 L	28-24 W
Paris 92 (W)	29-28 W	35-25 W
St Amand du Hainaut (W)	27-20 W	26-25 W
Metz (W)	20-33 L	22-41 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strasbourg (W)

LLWLWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	21-24	L
09/10	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	28-28	D
16/09	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	29-28	W
09/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	22-28	L
04/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-28	W
29/08	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	27-20	W
31/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	20-33	L
27/05	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	25-19	W
16/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	24-34	L
09/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	18-22	L

ESBF Besancon (W)

LLWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	22-41	L
09/10	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	35-25	W
16/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	26-25	W
11/09	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	36-22	W
05/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	28-24	W
29/08	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	21-28	L
31/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	32-28	W
27/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	35-26	W
15/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	26-30	L
09/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	20-38	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strasbourg (W) vs ESBF Besancon (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Strasbourg (W) 48% · ESBF Besancon (W) 52%).

How many points are expected in Strasbourg (W) vs ESBF Besancon (W)?

The model estimates 52.9 total points (Strasbourg (W) 26.2 · ESBF Besancon (W) 26.7).