Handball · France Division 1 Women · 07/10, 20:00

Prediction: Nice (W) vs Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

Team pages: Nice (W) · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.2Total

Nice (W)27.4

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)27.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

58% 42%

Nice (W) Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Nice (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLLL

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Nice (W) 1–5 Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) (6 last)

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)36-31Nice (W)
Nice (W)27-21Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)29-25Nice (W)
Nice (W)29-31Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Nice (W)28-31Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Nice (W)20-26Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nice (W) 1503 · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 1528

	Nice (W)	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Our model	56%	44%
Market	53%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 55.2 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.2Nice (W) 27.4 · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 27.8

Match keys

H2H favours Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nice (W)	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.2 / 27	28 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.2 / 28.4	28.4 / 27.8
Est. result	27	28

Est. total55.2

Line O/U55.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.72

X8.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.75

Under 55.51.95

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 54.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.72▲	Bet365 1.72
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.80 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:48 +18’	1.60	8.00	2.80
11:58 +11’	1.72▲	8.00	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nice (W) 1–0–5 Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 France Division 1 Women	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	36-31	Nice (W)
28/09/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	27-21	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
11/05/25 France Division 1 Women	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	29-25	Nice (W)
12/02/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	29-31	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
10/05/24 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	28-31	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
31/01/24 France Cup Women	Nice (W)	20-26	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	4	4	0	0	161	90	12
2	Brest (W)	4	3	0	1	124	104	10
3	ESBF Besancon (W)	4	3	0	1	111	99	10
4	Strasbourg (W)	4	3	0	1	107	104	10
5	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	4	2	0	2	115	113	8
6	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	4	2	0	2	104	105	8
7	Chambray Touraine (W)	4	2	0	2	103	98	8
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	4	2	0	2	98	103	8
9	Nice (W)	4	1	0	3	104	121	6
10	Stella St Maur (W)	4	1	0	3	93	123	6
11	Toulon (W)	4	0	1	3	109	130	5
12	Paris 92 (W)	4	0	1	3	105	144	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nice (W)	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Metz (W)	19-41 L	23-42 L
St Amand du Hainaut (W)	23-27 L	29-32 L
Stella St Maur (W)	34-24 W	26-27 L
Brest (W)	22-32 L	32-33 L
ESBF Besancon (W)	30-26 W	34-26 W
Chambray Touraine (W)	27-23 W	26-25 W
Plan De Cuques (W)	25-29 L	28-23 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nice (W)

LWWWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	28-29	L
09/09	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	19-41	L
03/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	23-27	L
29/08	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	34-24	W
31/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	22-21	W
27/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	22-32	L
15/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	30-26	W
09/05	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	22-18	W
06/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	27-23	W
24/04	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	25-29	L

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

LWWWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	26-25	W
09/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	29-32	L
02/09	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	32-33	L
29/08	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	28-23	W
31/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	27-26	W
27/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
09/05	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	34-31	W
06/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	34-26	W
02/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	21-19	W
29/04	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	23-42	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nice (W) vs Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nice (W) 58% · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 42%).

How many points are expected in Nice (W) vs Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)?

The model estimates 55.2 total points (Nice (W) 27.4 · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 27.8).