Handball · Argentina LHC Plata Apertura · 11/07, 02:45
Prediction: Boca Juniors vs CA Lanus
Prediction summary
Estimated points
58.1Total
Boca Juniors26.9
CA Lanus31.2
1X2
Boca Juniors
CA Lanus
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
CA Lanus
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors 1486 · CA Lanus 1571
| Boca Juniors | CA Lanus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
58.1 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points58.1Boca Juniors 26.9 · CA Lanus 31.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Lanus (rating 1486 vs 1571).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Boca Juniors | CA Lanus | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30 / 32.8 | 29.3 / 23.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 31.6 / 32.2 | 28.8 / 24.4 |
| Est. result | 27 | 31 |
Est. total58.1
Line O/U58.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors | CA Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Comunicaciones | 37-41 L | 26-24 W |
| CID Mariano Moreno | 27-32 L | 28-26 W |
| UBA | 27-25 W | 21-25 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste B | 34-33 W | 34-29 W |
| Cideco | 30-26 W | 35-28 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Lanus (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Comunicaciones Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
37-41 | L |
| 07/06 | Manuel Dorrego B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
33-30 | W |
| 31/05 | CID Mariano Moreno Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
27-32 | L |
| 24/05 | UBA Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
27-25 | W |
| 17/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
34-33 | W |
| 26/04 | Colegio Goethe Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
30-31 | L |
| 12/04 | Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
30-26 | W |
| 02/11 | Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
26-36 | L |
| 25/10 | Argentinos Juniors Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
25-35 | L |
| 12/10 | Sedalo Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
31-39 | L |
CA Lanus
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | UBA Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
21-25 | L |
| 18/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
34-29 | W |
| 14/06 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
26-26 | D |
| 07/06 | Mariano Acosta Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
37-24 | W |
| 24/05 | AFALP Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
26-18 | W |
| 17/05 | Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
35-28 | W |
| 09/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
33-24 | W |
| 03/05 | Juventud Unida Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
27-14 | W |
| 26/04 | CID Mariano Moreno Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
28-26 | W |
| 19/04 | Comunicaciones Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
26-24 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors vs CA Lanus?
Our model gives 64% to CA Lanus.
How many points are expected in Boca Juniors vs CA Lanus?
The model estimates 58.1 total points (Boca Juniors 26.9 · CA Lanus 31.2).