Handball · Argentina LHC Plata Apertura · 08/07, 02:30

Prediction: CA Lanus vs UBA

Estimated 53.2 total points (CA Lanus 27.9 · UBA 25.3).

On recent form, CA Lanus is 8-1-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and UBA 5-1-4 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, CA Lanus won 2 and UBA 0.

77%1
77% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Lanus 1577 · UBA 1496
CA LanusUBA
Our model70%30%
Market74%17%
Estimated total (ours) 53.2 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points53.2CA Lanus 27.9 · UBA 25.3

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Lanus (rating 1577 vs 1496).
  • CA Lanus is a clear favourite (77% market).
  • H2H favours CA Lanus: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

CA LanusUBA
Points F|A (Last 10)30 / 2525.6 / 25.7
Points F|A (Last 5)31.6 / 2524.4 / 26.6
Est. result2825
Est. total53.2
Line O/U53.5
Diff.0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Lanus 200 UBA

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/10/23
Argentina LHC Plata Clausura
CA Lanus43-34UBA
15/05/23
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
UBA29-33CA Lanus

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA LanusUBA
Ferro Carril Oeste B 34-29 W 28-27 W
Defensa y Justicia 26-26 D 31-21 W
AFALP 26-18 W 21-20 W
Cideco 35-28 W 29-24 W
CID Mariano Moreno 28-26 W 23-22 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CA Lanus (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Lanus

LWWWWWWWDW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
18/06 Ferro Carril Oeste B
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
34-29 W
14/06 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
26-26 D
07/06 Mariano Acosta
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
37-24 W
24/05 AFALP
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
26-18 W
17/05 Cideco
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
35-28 W
09/05 CA San Telmo
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
33-24 W
03/05 Juventud Unida
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
27-14 W
26/04 CID Mariano Moreno
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
28-26 W
19/04 Comunicaciones
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
26-24 W
30/11 Manuel Dorrego
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
28-37 L

UBA

LWWWWWLDLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
07/06 SAGAB B
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
22-27 L
07/06 SAG de Lomas de Zamora
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
22-27 L
31/05 Manuel Dorrego B
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
30-30 D
24/05 Boca Juniors
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
25-27 L
17/05 CID Mariano Moreno
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
23-22 W
10/05 Ferro Carril Oeste B
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
28-27 W
03/05 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
31-21 W
12/04 AFALP
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
21-20 W
29/03 Cideco
Argentina LHC Plata Apertura
29-24 W
16/11 Colegio Goethe
Argentina LHC Plata Clausura
25-32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Lanus vs UBA?

Our model gives 77% to CA Lanus.

How many points are expected in CA Lanus vs UBA?

The model estimates 53.2 total points (CA Lanus 27.9 · UBA 25.3).