Prediction: AFALP vs Colegio Goethe
Estimated 48.7 total points (AFALP 23.1 · Colegio Goethe 25.6). Under 51.5 points (75% of recent history, magic 2).
On recent form, AFALP is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Colegio Goethe 8-1-1 over its own.
| AFALP | Colegio Goethe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 26% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colegio Goethe (rating 1448 vs 1563).
- Colegio Goethe is a clear favourite (65% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| AFALP | Colegio Goethe | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 22.2 / 24.6 | 27.2 / 24.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 22.8 / 25.8 | 27 / 26 |
| Est. result | 23 | 26 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFALP | Colegio Goethe |
|---|---|---|
| Cideco | 36-32 W | 26-25 W |
| CA San Telmo | 17-25 L | 24-22 W |
| Juventud Unida | 22-22 D | 17-16 W |
| Comunicaciones | 20-27 L | 37-37 D |
| UBA | 20-21 L | 32-25 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Colegio Goethe (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFALP
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | CID Mariano Moreno Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
21-24 | L |
| 14/06 | Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
36-32 | W |
| 07/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
17-25 | L |
| 31/05 | Juventud Unida Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
22-22 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Lanus Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
18-26 | L |
| 17/05 | Comunicaciones Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
20-27 | L |
| 10/05 | Sag Ballester B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
21-21 | D |
| 26/04 | Manuel Dorrego B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
28-24 | W |
| 12/04 | UBA Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
20-21 | L |
| 29/03 | Ferro Carril Oeste B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
19-24 | L |
Colegio Goethe
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
26-25 | W |
| 15/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
24-22 | W |
| 07/06 | Juventud Unida Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
17-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Comunicaciones Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
37-37 | D |
| 26/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
31-30 | W |
| 29/03 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina LHC Plata Apertura |
34-16 | W |
| 30/11 | SAG Lomas de Zamora B Argentina LHC Plata Clausura |
21-26 | L |
| 16/11 | UBA Argentina LHC Plata Clausura |
32-25 | W |
| 20/10 | Juventud Unida Argentina LHC Plata Clausura |
25-24 | W |
| 29/09 | Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Clausura |
25-20 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFALP vs Colegio Goethe?
Our model gives 65% to Colegio Goethe.
How many points are expected in AFALP vs Colegio Goethe?
The model estimates 48.7 total points (AFALP 23.1 · Colegio Goethe 25.6).
Over or under 51.5 points?
Recent history points to under 51.5 points (75%).