Prediction: VILO vs Velez Sarsfield

Estimated 54.2 total points (VILO 25.4 · Velez Sarsfield 28.8).

Over its last 10 matches, VILO sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while Velez Sarsfield arrives on a 5-1-4 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, VILO won 1 and Velez Sarsfield 2.

55%2
45% 55%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VILO 1407 · Velez Sarsfield 1500
VILOVelez Sarsfield
Our model47%53%
Market39%50%
Estimated total (ours) 54.2 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points54.2VILO 25.4 · Velez Sarsfield 28.8

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Velez Sarsfield (rating 1407 vs 1500).
  • H2H favours Velez Sarsfield: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

VILOVelez Sarsfield
Points F|A (Last 10)26.7 / 32.425.3 / 23.6
Points F|A (Last 5)28.4 / 32.825.6 / 24.4
Est. result2529
Est. total54.2
Line O/U52.5
Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · VILO 102 Velez Sarsfield

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/10/23
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
VILO32-30Velez Sarsfield
07/08/22
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
VILO20-27Velez Sarsfield
04/11/21
Argentina Clausura
Velez Sarsfield28-24VILO

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVILOVelez Sarsfield
River Plate 25-36 L 17-23 L
SAG Villa Ballester 26-37 L 25-28 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Velez Sarsfield (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VILO

WLLLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent FT Res.
31/05 Colegio Ward
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
26-26 D
29/05 Argentinos Juniors
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-37 L
24/05 SAG de Lomas de Zamora
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-33 L
23/05 S.A.G.B.
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-33 L
10/05 NS Lujan
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
23-35 L
28/03 River Plate
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
25-36 L
22/03 San Fernando Handball
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
24-33 L
12/10 Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
22-27 L
05/10 SAG Villa Ballester
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
26-37 L
17/09 River Plate
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
28-27 W

Velez Sarsfield

WWLLWWLDLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
15/06 AA Quilmes
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
26-25 W
14/06 Manuel Dorrego
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
23-24 L
07/06 SAG Polvorines
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
21-21 D
31/05 Sedalo
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
27-31 L
24/05 Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-21 W
23/05 Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-21 W
10/05 River Plate
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
17-23 L
22/03 SAG Villa Ballester
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
25-28 L
29/11 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina LHC Plata Clausura
26-17 W
20/10 Mariano Acosta
Argentina LHC Plata Clausura
26-25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VILO vs Velez Sarsfield?

Our model gives 55% to Velez Sarsfield.

How many points are expected in VILO vs Velez Sarsfield?

The model estimates 54.2 total points (VILO 25.4 · Velez Sarsfield 28.8).