Prediction: Velez Sarsfield vs Colegio Ward

Prediction summary
Estimated points
50Total
Velez Sarsfield25.8
Colegio Ward24.2
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
55% 45%
Velez Sarsfield Colegio Ward

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Velez Sarsfield 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLDLWL
Colegio Ward 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLLDLDWLLL
Head-to-head
Velez Sarsfield 0–1–2 Colegio Ward (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velez Sarsfield 1480 · Colegio Ward 1468
Velez SarsfieldColegio Ward
Our model62%38%
Market44%44%
Estimated total (ours) 50 points · Bet365 line 49.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points50Velez Sarsfield 25.8 · Colegio Ward 24.2

Match keys

  • H2H favours Colegio Ward: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Velez SarsfieldColegio Ward
Points F|A (Last 10)25 / 23.925.1 / 26.5
Points F|A (Last 5)24 / 25.825 / 27.8
Est. result2624
Est. total50
Line O/U49.5
Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Velez Sarsfield 012 Colegio Ward

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/05/24
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
Colegio Ward28-28Velez Sarsfield
06/08/23
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
Colegio Ward34-29Velez Sarsfield
23/03/23
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
Velez Sarsfield24-37Colegio Ward

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVelez SarsfieldColegio Ward
VILO 23-28 L 26-26 D
AA Quilmes 26-25 W 25-27 L
Manuel Dorrego 23-24 L 24-31 L
SAG Polvorines 21-21 D 29-22 W
SAG Villa Ballester 25-28 L 18-21 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velez Sarsfield

WLLWWLDLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/07 VILO
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
23-28 L
15/06 AA Quilmes
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
26-25 W
14/06 Manuel Dorrego
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
23-24 L
07/06 SAG Polvorines
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
21-21 D
31/05 Sedalo
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
27-31 L
24/05 Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-21 W
23/05 Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
31-21 W
10/05 River Plate
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
17-23 L
22/03 SAG Villa Ballester
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
25-28 L
29/11 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina LHC Plata Clausura
26-17 W

Colegio Ward

WLLDLDWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
10/07 Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
23-30 L
26/06 Manuel Dorrego
S and C America Club Champs
24-31 L
26/06 Argentinos Juniors
S and C America Club Champs
22-23 L
21/06 EC Pinheiros
S and C America Club Champs
29-28 W
14/06 NS Lujan
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
27-27 D
06/06 SAG de Lomas de Zamora
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
28-30 L
31/05 VILO
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
26-26 D
28/05 SAG Villa Ballester
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
18-21 L
22/05 AA Quilmes
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
25-27 L
10/05 SAG Polvorines
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
29-22 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velez Sarsfield vs Colegio Ward?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Velez Sarsfield 55% · Colegio Ward 45%).

How many points are expected in Velez Sarsfield vs Colegio Ward?

The model estimates 50 total points (Velez Sarsfield 25.8 · Colegio Ward 24.2).