Handball · Argentina LHC Oro Apertura · 11/07, 23:30
Prediction: Manuel Dorrego vs SAG Polvorines
Prediction summary
Estimated points
52.6Total
Manuel Dorrego28.2
SAG Polvorines24.4
1X2
Manuel Dorrego
SAG Polvorines
Markets
Under 55.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Dorrego
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
SAG Polvorines
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Manuel Dorrego
4–0
SAG Polvorines
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manuel Dorrego 1520 · SAG Polvorines 1413
| Manuel Dorrego | SAG Polvorines | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 74% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
52.6 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · -2.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points52.6Manuel Dorrego 28.2 · SAG Polvorines 24.4
Over / Under 55.5Under · 80%recent trend · ~52.2 pts · strength 3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manuel Dorrego (rating 1520 vs 1413).
- Manuel Dorrego is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Manuel Dorrego: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Manuel Dorrego | SAG Polvorines | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 25.9 / 25.4 | 24.1 / 28.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 24.6 / 27.8 | 24 / 28.6 |
| Est. result | 28 | 24 |
Est. total52.6
Line O/U55.5
Diff.2.9
Over / Under20% / 80%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manuel Dorrego 4–0–0 SAG Polvorines
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/25 Argentina LHC Oro Clausura | Manuel Dorrego | 30-26 | SAG Polvorines |
| 21/08/22 Argentina LHC Oro Clausura | SAG Polvorines | 31-44 | Manuel Dorrego |
| 26/03/22 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura | Manuel Dorrego | 36-23 | SAG Polvorines |
| 08/09/19 Argentina Clausura | SAG Polvorines | 23-30 | Manuel Dorrego |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manuel Dorrego | SAG Polvorines |
|---|---|---|
| Colegio Ward | 31-24 W | 22-29 L |
| River Plate | 24-18 W | 24-27 L |
| Velez Sarsfield | 24-23 W | 21-21 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 27-27 D | 22-26 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Manuel Dorrego (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manuel Dorrego
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sedalo Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
28-35 | L |
| 27/06 | Taubate S and C America Club Champs |
20-27 | L |
| 27/06 | Taubate S and C America Club Champs |
20-27 | L |
| 26/06 | Colegio Ward S and C America Club Champs |
31-24 | W |
| 25/06 | Nacional HC S and C America Club Champs |
24-26 | L |
| 23/06 | River Plate S and C America Club Champs |
24-18 | W |
| 16/06 | Estudiantes de La Plata Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
34-21 | W |
| 14/06 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
24-23 | W |
| 07/06 | River Plate Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
27-26 | W |
| 10/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
27-27 | D |
SAG Polvorines
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | River Plate Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
24-27 | L |
| 16/06 | San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
28-41 | L |
| 14/06 | SAG Villa Ballester Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
25-28 | L |
| 07/06 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
21-21 | D |
| 31/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-26 | L |
| 10/05 | Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-29 | L |
| 11/04 | S.A.G.B. Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-25 | L |
| 11/04 | SAG de Lomas de Zamora Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-25 | L |
| 09/10 | Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
26-30 | L |
| 18/09 | Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
29-33 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manuel Dorrego vs SAG Polvorines?
Our model gives 78% to Manuel Dorrego.
How many points are expected in Manuel Dorrego vs SAG Polvorines?
The model estimates 52.6 total points (Manuel Dorrego 28.2 · SAG Polvorines 24.4).
Over or under 55.5 points?
Recent history points to under 55.5 points (80%).