Prediction: Colegio Ward vs Ferro Carril Oeste

Estimated 48.3 total points (Colegio Ward 23.8 · Ferro Carril Oeste 24.5). Under 52.5 points (65% of recent history, magic 2).

Recent form leaves Colegio Ward with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Ferro Carril Oeste has piled up 7-3-0 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Colegio Ward won 0 and Ferro Carril Oeste 2.

64%2
36% 64%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colegio Ward 1484 · Ferro Carril Oeste 1574
Colegio WardFerro Carril Oeste
Our model47%53%
Market26%64%
Estimated total (ours) 48.3 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · -4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points48.3Colegio Ward 23.8 · Ferro Carril Oeste 24.5
Over / Under 52.5Under · 65%trend · magic 2

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1484 vs 1574).
  • H2H favours Ferro Carril Oeste: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Colegio WardFerro Carril Oeste
Points F|A (Last 10)25.5 / 25.624.7 / 22.9
Points F|A (Last 5)26 / 27.825 / 22.8
Est. result2425
Est. total48.3
Line O/U52.5
Diff.4.2
Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colegio Ward 002 Ferro Carril Oeste

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/07/22
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
Colegio Ward26-27Ferro Carril Oeste
10/08/19
Argentina Apertura
Ferro Carril Oeste26-22Colegio Ward

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentColegio WardFerro Carril Oeste
Manuel Dorrego 24-31 L 27-27 D
NS Lujan 27-27 D 24-21 W
SAG de Lomas de Zamora 28-30 L 29-28 W
VILO 26-26 D 27-22 W
SAG Villa Ballester 18-21 L 29-28 W
AA Quilmes 25-27 L 25-22 W
SAG Polvorines 29-22 W 26-22 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colegio Ward

WWLLDLDWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/06 Manuel Dorrego
S and C America Club Champs
24-31 L
26/06 Argentinos Juniors
S and C America Club Champs
22-23 L
21/06 EC Pinheiros
S and C America Club Champs
29-28 W
14/06 NS Lujan
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
27-27 D
06/06 SAG de Lomas de Zamora
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
28-30 L
31/05 VILO
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
26-26 D
28/05 SAG Villa Ballester
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
18-21 L
22/05 AA Quilmes
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
25-27 L
10/05 SAG Polvorines
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
29-22 W
26/04 Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
27-21 W

Ferro Carril Oeste

DWWWDDWWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
06/06 NS Lujan
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
24-21 W
31/05 SAG Polvorines
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
26-22 W
28/05 AA Quilmes
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
25-22 W
24/05 Sedalo
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
23-22 W
10/05 Manuel Dorrego
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
27-27 D
01/05 River Plate
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
20-20 D
29/03 SAG de Lomas de Zamora
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
29-28 W
29/03 SAG Villa Ballester
Argentina LHC Oro Apertura
29-28 W
12/10 VILO
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
27-22 W
21/09 San Fernando Handball
Argentina LHC Oro Clausura
17-17 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colegio Ward vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our model gives 64% to Ferro Carril Oeste.

How many points are expected in Colegio Ward vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

The model estimates 48.3 total points (Colegio Ward 23.8 · Ferro Carril Oeste 24.5).

Over or under 52.5 points?

Recent history points to under 52.5 points (65%).