Prediction: SAG Polvorines vs River Plate
Estimated 50.7 total points (SAG Polvorines 24.4 · River Plate 26.3). Under 53.5 points (75% of recent history, magic 3).
Recent form leaves SAG Polvorines with 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses over 10 games; River Plate has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for SAG Polvorines and 3 for River Plate.
| SAG Polvorines | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 45% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (rating 1409 vs 1512).
- H2H favours River Plate: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| SAG Polvorines | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 24.4 / 29 | 24.8 / 23.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 23.6 / 29 | 23.6 / 24.4 |
| Est. result | 24 | 26 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · SAG Polvorines 1–0–3 River Plate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 Argentina LHC Oro Clausura | SAG Polvorines | 27-32 | River Plate |
| 05/05/23 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura | River Plate | 28-26 | SAG Polvorines |
| 27/11/22 Argentina LHC Oro Clausura | River Plate | 29-32 | SAG Polvorines |
| 01/09/19 Argentina Clausura | River Plate | 28-19 | SAG Polvorines |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SAG Polvorines | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| San Fernando Handball | 28-41 L | 26-27 L |
| Velez Sarsfield | 21-21 D | 23-17 W |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 22-26 L | 20-20 D |
| Manuel Dorrego | 26-30 L | 18-24 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: River Plate (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SAG Polvorines
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
28-41 | L |
| 14/06 | SAG Villa Ballester Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
25-28 | L |
| 07/06 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
21-21 | D |
| 31/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-26 | L |
| 10/05 | Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-29 | L |
| 11/04 | S.A.G.B. Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-25 | L |
| 11/04 | SAG de Lomas de Zamora Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
22-25 | L |
| 09/10 | Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
26-30 | L |
| 18/09 | Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
29-33 | L |
| 07/09 | River Plate Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
27-32 | L |
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Manuel Dorrego S and C America Club Champs |
18-24 | L |
| 23/06 | San Fernando Handball S and C America Club Champs |
26-27 | L |
| 15/06 | Sedalo Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
21-20 | W |
| 14/06 | Bartolome Mitre Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
27-24 | W |
| 07/06 | Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
26-27 | L |
| 24/05 | San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
26-27 | L |
| 10/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
23-17 | W |
| 01/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
20-20 | D |
| 28/03 | VILO Argentina LHC Oro Apertura |
36-25 | W |
| 30/11 | NS Lujan Argentina LHC Oro Clausura |
25-25 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SAG Polvorines vs River Plate?
Our model gives 51% to River Plate.
How many points are expected in SAG Polvorines vs River Plate?
The model estimates 50.7 total points (SAG Polvorines 24.4 · River Plate 26.3).
Over or under 53.5 points?
Recent history points to under 53.5 points (75%).