Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 11/11, 19:15

Prediction: Pfadi Winterthur vs HC Kriens-Luzern

Team pages: Pfadi Winterthur · HC Kriens-Luzern

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.9Total

Pfadi Winterthur31.2

HC Kriens-Luzern32.7

1X2

34% 66%

Pfadi Winterthur HC Kriens-Luzern

Recent form · 10 last

Pfadi Winterthur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWWWWL

HC Kriens-Luzern 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Pfadi Winterthur 0–6 HC Kriens-Luzern (6 last)

HC Kriens-Luzern35-30Pfadi Winterthur
HC Kriens-Luzern34-29Pfadi Winterthur
HC Kriens-Luzern35-29Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur33-41HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern38-27Pfadi Winterthur
HC Kriens-Luzern32-29Pfadi Winterthur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pfadi Winterthur 1527 · HC Kriens-Luzern 1621

	Pfadi Winterthur	HC Kriens-Luzern
Our model	47%	53%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 63.9 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.9Pfadi Winterthur 31.2 · HC Kriens-Luzern 32.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Kriens-Luzern (rating 1527 vs 1621).
HC Kriens-Luzern is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours HC Kriens-Luzern: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pfadi Winterthur	HC Kriens-Luzern
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 29.4	36.4 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 27.8	34.6 / 29
Est. result	31	33

Est. total63.9

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 1.5 · Est. total: 63

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +35’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pfadi Winterthur 0–0–6 HC Kriens-Luzern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/10/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	35-30	Pfadi Winterthur
26/08/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	34-29	Pfadi Winterthur
03/05/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	35-29	Pfadi Winterthur
30/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	33-41	HC Kriens-Luzern
26/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	38-27	Pfadi Winterthur
04/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	32-29	Pfadi Winterthur

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	10	10	0	0	363	301	20
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	11	9	1	1	381	320	19
3	Pfadi Winterthur	11	6	1	4	341	312	13
4	BSV Bern Muri	10	5	1	4	306	279	11
5	Wacker Thun	10	4	1	5	311	311	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	10	4	0	6	287	295	8
7	Amicitia Zurich	10	4	0	6	313	326	8
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	10	3	0	7	256	281	6
9	RTV 1879 Basel	10	3	0	7	297	335	6
10	Handball Stafa	10	1	0	9	270	365	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pfadi Winterthur	HC Kriens-Luzern
Handball Stafa	29-26 W	42-33 W
HSC Suhr Aarau	32-26 W	32-24 W
BSV Bern Muri	27-25 W	37-32 W
Amicitia Zurich	32-27 W	43-35 W
Wacker Thun	33-34 L	34-27 W
Kadetten Schaffhausen	28-35 L	38-32 W
RTV 1879 Basel	34-30 W	38-32 W
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	25-27 L	34-32 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HC Kriens-Luzern (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pfadi Winterthur

LDWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	30-35	L
28/10	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	29-26	W
21/10	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	32-26	W
14/10	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-25	W
03/10	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	32-27	W
26/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	33-34	L
23/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-35	L
16/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
12/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-29	D
06/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L

HC Kriens-Luzern

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	35-30	W
25/10	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	34-27	W
17/10	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	32-24	W
10/10	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
03/10	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
26/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	37-32	W
23/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	43-35	W
20/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
05/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	42-33	W
02/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pfadi Winterthur vs HC Kriens-Luzern?

Our model gives 66% to HC Kriens-Luzern.

How many points are expected in Pfadi Winterthur vs HC Kriens-Luzern?

The model estimates 63.9 total points (Pfadi Winterthur 31.2 · HC Kriens-Luzern 32.7).