Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 11/11, 19:15

Prediction: RTV 1879 Basel vs Wacker Thun

Team pages: RTV 1879 Basel · Wacker Thun

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.3Total

RTV 1879 Basel31.8

Wacker Thun31.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

RTV 1879 Basel Wacker Thun

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RTV 1879 Basel 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLWL

Wacker Thun 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLLLL

Head-to-head

RTV 1879 Basel 2–4 Wacker Thun (6 last)

Wacker Thun38-29RTV 1879 Basel
Wacker Thun36-38RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel33-26Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun32-31RTV 1879 Basel
Wacker Thun30-26RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel24-27Wacker Thun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RTV 1879 Basel 1485 · Wacker Thun 1460

	RTV 1879 Basel	Wacker Thun
Our model	63%	37%
Market	46%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 63.3 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.3RTV 1879 Basel 31.8 · Wacker Thun 31.5

Match keys

H2H favours Wacker Thun: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RTV 1879 Basel	Wacker Thun
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 32.6	30.4 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 36.4	29.8 / 32.8
Est. result	32	32

Est. total63.3

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X8.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 62.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +12’	2.00	8.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RTV 1879 Basel 2–0–4 Wacker Thun

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	38-29	RTV 1879 Basel
11/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	36-38	RTV 1879 Basel
13/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	33-26	Wacker Thun
08/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	32-31	RTV 1879 Basel
12/02/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	30-26	RTV 1879 Basel
04/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	24-27	Wacker Thun

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	10	10	0	0	363	301	20
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	11	9	1	1	381	320	19
3	Pfadi Winterthur	11	6	1	4	341	312	13
4	BSV Bern Muri	10	5	1	4	306	279	11
5	Wacker Thun	10	4	1	5	311	311	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	10	4	0	6	287	295	8
7	Amicitia Zurich	10	4	0	6	313	326	8
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	10	3	0	7	256	281	6
9	RTV 1879 Basel	10	3	0	7	297	335	6
10	Handball Stafa	10	1	0	9	270	365	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RTV 1879 Basel	Wacker Thun
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	35-39 L	25-23 W
BSV Bern Muri	27-25 W	30-30 D
Amicitia Zurich	29-38 L	38-30 W
Kadetten Schaffhausen	26-42 L	28-32 L
HC Kriens-Luzern	32-38 L	27-34 L
Handball Stafa	39-31 W	39-42 L
Pfadi Winterthur	30-34 L	34-33 W
HSC Suhr Aarau	23-22 W	27-28 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RTV 1879 Basel

LWLWWLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	35-39	L
28/10	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-25	W
21/10	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
17/10	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	26-42	L
03/10	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	32-38	L
26/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-31	W
23/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-27	W
16/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
05/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	23-22	W
02/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	28-30	L

Wacker Thun

LWLDWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-42	L
25/10	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-34	L
21/10	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-32	L
14/10	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	30-33	L
03/10	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-23	W
26/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-33	W
23/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
12/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-28	L
05/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	38-30	W
02/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RTV 1879 Basel vs Wacker Thun?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RTV 1879 Basel 56% · Wacker Thun 44%).

How many points are expected in RTV 1879 Basel vs Wacker Thun?

The model estimates 63.3 total points (RTV 1879 Basel 31.8 · Wacker Thun 31.5).