Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 11/11, 19:15

Prediction: Amicitia Zurich vs BSV Bern Muri

Team pages: Amicitia Zurich · BSV Bern Muri

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.6Total

Amicitia Zurich28.6

BSV Bern Muri31

1X2

36% 64%

Amicitia Zurich BSV Bern Muri

Recent form · 10 last

Amicitia Zurich 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWLW

BSV Bern Muri 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWLWL

Head-to-head

Amicitia Zurich 1–1–4 BSV Bern Muri (6 last)

BSV Bern Muri34-26Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich27-27BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri28-25Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich24-28BSV Bern Muri
Amicitia Zurich33-30BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri33-26Amicitia Zurich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amicitia Zurich 1473 · BSV Bern Muri 1549

	Amicitia Zurich	BSV Bern Muri
Our model	49%	51%
Market	24%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 59.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.6Amicitia Zurich 28.6 · BSV Bern Muri 31

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BSV Bern Muri (rating 1473 vs 1549).
H2H favours BSV Bern Muri: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Amicitia Zurich	BSV Bern Muri
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 33	30.1 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 31.6	28.8 / 27.2
Est. result	29	31

Est. total59.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.80

X9.00

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.95

2 (-2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 60.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +3’	3.80	9.00	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amicitia Zurich 1–1–4 BSV Bern Muri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	34-26	Amicitia Zurich
07/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	27-27	BSV Bern Muri
05/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	28-25	Amicitia Zurich
03/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	24-28	BSV Bern Muri
08/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	33-30	BSV Bern Muri
12/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	33-26	Amicitia Zurich

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	10	10	0	0	363	301	20
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	11	9	1	1	381	320	19
3	Pfadi Winterthur	11	6	1	4	341	312	13
4	BSV Bern Muri	10	5	1	4	306	279	11
5	Wacker Thun	10	4	1	5	311	311	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	10	4	0	6	287	295	8
7	Amicitia Zurich	10	4	0	6	313	326	8
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	10	3	0	7	256	281	6
9	RTV 1879 Basel	10	3	0	7	297	335	6
10	Handball Stafa	10	1	0	9	270	365	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amicitia Zurich	BSV Bern Muri
Kadetten Schaffhausen	26-37 L	29-31 L
RTV 1879 Basel	38-29 W	25-27 L
Pfadi Winterthur	27-32 L	25-27 L
HSC Suhr Aarau	27-23 W	27-26 W
HC Kriens-Luzern	35-43 L	32-37 L
Wacker Thun	30-38 L	30-30 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: BSV Bern Muri (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amicitia Zurich

LLLLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	TV Mohlin Switzerland MNLA	39-29	W
24/10	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	26-37	L
21/10	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-29	W
18/10	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	28-31	L
03/10	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-32	L
27/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-23	W
23/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	35-43	L
16/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	26-34	L
05/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-38	L
02/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-34	L

BSV Bern Muri

WWLWDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
21/10	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	35-19	W
14/10	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
03/10	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-26	W
26/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	32-37	L
23/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
16/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
06/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-31	L
02/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	30-28	W
29/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-21	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amicitia Zurich vs BSV Bern Muri?

Our model gives 64% to BSV Bern Muri.

How many points are expected in Amicitia Zurich vs BSV Bern Muri?

The model estimates 59.6 total points (Amicitia Zurich 28.6 · BSV Bern Muri 31).