Handball · France Proligue · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: Creteil vs Ivry

Team pages: Creteil · Ivry

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.6Total

Creteil30.1

Ivry31.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Creteil Ivry

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Creteil 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLLW

Ivry 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Creteil 2–1–3 Ivry (6 last)

Ivry31-31Creteil
Creteil32-36Ivry
Ivry32-30Creteil
Creteil27-23Ivry
Ivry26-27Creteil
Creteil29-32Ivry

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Creteil 1496 · Ivry 1571

	Creteil	Ivry
Our model	49%	51%
Market	36%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 61.6 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.6Creteil 30.1 · Ivry 31.5

Match keys

H2H favours Ivry: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Creteil	Ivry
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 29.9	31.8 / 28.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 29.4	32.6 / 29.4
Est. result	30	32

Est. total61.6

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.50

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.75

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 60.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.95 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:54 +21’	2.10	8.50	1.95
17:10 +6’	2.50▲	8.50	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Creteil 2–1–3 Ivry

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 France Proligue	Ivry	31-31	Creteil
14/11/25 France Proligue	Creteil	32-36	Ivry
08/03/25 France Starligue	Ivry	32-30	Creteil
13/12/24 France Starligue	Creteil	27-23	Ivry
26/04/24 France Starligue	Ivry	26-27	Creteil
16/12/23 France Starligue	Creteil	29-32	Ivry

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Billere	7	6	1	0	219	189	14
2	JS Cherbourg	7	7	0	0	229	204	14
3	Ivry	7	6	0	1	234	202	12
4	Dijon	7	5	0	2	228	190	10
5	Creteil	7	5	0	2	216	208	10
6	Cournon d'Auvergne	7	4	1	2	219	207	9
7	Pontault-Combault	7	3	2	2	226	219	9
8	US Saintes	7	2	1	4	205	211	6
9	Grand Besançon	7	3	0	4	210	217	6
10	Sarrebourg	7	3	0	4	199	213	6
11	Val D'Oise	7	2	1	4	213	219	5
12	Valence	7	1	2	4	224	236	5
13	Massy	7	2	0	5	205	223	4
14	Draguignan VHB	7	2	0	5	188	221	4
15	Istres Provence	7	1	0	6	187	206	2
16	Frontignan	7	0	0	7	198	235	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Creteil	Ivry
Dijon	28-30 L	26-32 L
Sarrebourg	29-28 W	33-26 W
Frontignan	33-28 W	38-29 W
Caen Handball	25-37 L	22-24 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ivry (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Creteil

WLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Draguignan VHB France Proligue	29-28	W
09/10	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	30-33	L
02/10	Dijon France Proligue	28-30	L
25/09	Sarrebourg France Proligue	29-28	W
18/09	Frontignan France Proligue	33-28	W
11/09	Massy France Proligue	35-33	W
04/09	Grand Besançon France Proligue	32-28	W
24/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	25-37	L
21/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	30-31	L
07/05	Massy France Proligue	33-23	W

Ivry

WWLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Val D'Oise France Proligue	34-31	W
09/10	Istres Provence France Proligue	30-25	W
02/10	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	32-27	W
26/09	Dijon France Proligue	26-32	L
17/09	Valence France Proligue	41-32	W
11/09	Sarrebourg France Proligue	33-26	W
04/09	Frontignan France Proligue	38-29	W
07/06	Caen Handball France Proligue	22-24	L
04/06	Caen Handball France Proligue	31-29	W
31/05	Billere France Proligue	31-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Creteil vs Ivry?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Creteil 44% · Ivry 56%).

How many points are expected in Creteil vs Ivry?

The model estimates 61.6 total points (Creteil 30.1 · Ivry 31.5).