Handball · France Proligue · 17/09, 20:00
Prediction: Valence vs Ivry
Prediction summary
Estimated points
63.1Total
Valence30.4
Ivry32.7
1X2
Valence
Ivry
Recent form · 10 last
Valence
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Ivry
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valence
0–4
Ivry
(4 last)
- Valence34-41Ivry
- Ivry32-27Valence
- Ivry34-33Valence
- Valence27-34Ivry
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valence 1462 · Ivry 1575
| Valence | Ivry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
63.1 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points63.1Valence 30.4 · Ivry 32.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivry (rating 1462 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Ivry: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valence | Ivry | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 31.6 / 32.7 | 32.3 / 28.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 33 / 34.4 | 31 / 27.2 |
| Est. result | 30 | 33 |
Est. total63.1
Line O/U62.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valence 0–0–4 Ivry
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 France Proligue | Valence | 34-41 | Ivry |
| 19/12/25 France Proligue | Ivry | 32-27 | Valence |
| 11/02/22 France Proligue | Ivry | 34-33 | Valence |
| 15/12/21 France Proligue | Valence | 27-34 | Ivry |
Standings · France Proligue
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivry | 2 | 2 | 0 | 71 | 55 | 4 |
| 2 | Cournon d'Auvergne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 67 | 57 | 4 |
| 3 | JS Cherbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 73 | 66 | 4 |
| 4 | Creteil | 2 | 2 | 0 | 67 | 61 | 4 |
| 5 | Billere | 2 | 2 | 0 | 56 | 52 | 4 |
| 6 | Pontault-Combault | 2 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 64 | 2 |
| 7 | Grand Besançon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 59 | 55 | 2 |
| 8 | Valence | 2 | 1 | 1 | 68 | 65 | 2 |
| 9 | US Saintes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 57 | 2 |
| 10 | Draguignan VHB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 59 | 63 | 2 |
| 11 | Dijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 68 | 61 | 2 |
| 12 | Massy | 2 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 62 | 0 |
| 13 | Istres Provence | 2 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 58 | 0 |
| 14 | Val D'Oise | 2 | 0 | 2 | 49 | 59 | 0 |
| 15 | Sarrebourg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 66 | 0 |
| 16 | Frontignan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 76 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valence | Ivry |
|---|---|---|
| Frontignan | 34-39 L | 38-29 W |
| Caen Handball | 35-41 L | 22-24 L |
| US Saintes | 24-30 L | 37-33 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ivry (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valence
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Istres Provence France Proligue |
33-29 | W |
| 05/09 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
35-36 | L |
| 24/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
33-36 | L |
| 20/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
| 07/05 | Frontignan France Proligue |
34-39 | L |
| 01/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
35-41 | L |
| 24/04 | US Saintes France Proligue |
24-30 | L |
| 17/04 | Angers France Proligue |
28-26 | W |
| 14/04 | Creteil France Proligue |
36-27 | W |
| 10/04 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
28-31 | L |
Ivry
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Sarrebourg France Proligue |
33-26 | W |
| 04/09 | Frontignan France Proligue |
38-29 | W |
| 07/06 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
22-24 | L |
| 04/06 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
31-29 | W |
| 31/05 | Billere France Proligue |
31-28 | W |
| 28/05 | Billere France Proligue |
28-29 | L |
| 24/05 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
38-31 | W |
| 21/05 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
30-28 | W |
| 07/05 | Billere France Proligue |
35-28 | W |
| 03/05 | US Saintes France Proligue |
37-33 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valence vs Ivry?
Our model gives 64% to Ivry.
How many points are expected in Valence vs Ivry?
The model estimates 63.1 total points (Valence 30.4 · Ivry 32.7).