Handball · Germany Cup Women · 21/08, 19:30

Prediction: HC Rodertal (W) vs HC Leipzig (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.9Total

HC Rodertal (W)28.6

HC Leipzig (W)28.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

HC Rodertal (W) HC Leipzig (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HC Rodertal (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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HC Leipzig (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HC Rodertal (W) 1–5 HC Leipzig (W) (6 last)

HC Leipzig (W)30-28HC Rodertal (W)
HC Rodertal (W)22-25HC Leipzig (W)
HC Rodertal (W)26-29HC Leipzig (W)
HC Leipzig (W)20-24HC Rodertal (W)
HC Leipzig (W)32-27HC Rodertal (W)
HC Rodertal (W)23-26HC Leipzig (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Rodertal (W) 1535 · HC Leipzig (W) 1557

	HC Rodertal (W)	HC Leipzig (W)
Our model	57%	43%
Market	30%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 56.9 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.9HC Rodertal (W) 28.6 · HC Leipzig (W) 28.3

Match keys

H2H favours HC Leipzig (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Rodertal (W)	HC Leipzig (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32 / 26.5	30 / 24.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 26.8	31.8 / 25.8
Est. result	29	28

Est. total56.9

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.00

X8.50

21.52

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 56.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.52 → 1.52	Bet365 1.52

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:36 +10’	3.00	8.50	1.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Rodertal (W) 1–0–5 HC Leipzig (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Leipzig (W)	30-28	HC Rodertal (W)
08/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	22-25	HC Leipzig (W)
22/02/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	26-29	HC Leipzig (W)
20/10/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Leipzig (W)	20-24	HC Rodertal (W)
28/04/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Leipzig (W)	32-27	HC Rodertal (W)
02/12/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	23-26	HC Leipzig (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Rodertal (W)	HC Leipzig (W)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	31-26 W	37-24 W
TUS Lintfort (W)	39-25 W	27-22 W
Bergischer HC (W)	30-27 W	34-27 W
Fuchse Berlin (W)	21-31 L	21-25 L
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	36-22 W	39-19 W
TG Nurtingen (W)	31-32 L	29-32 L
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	36-23 W	22-16 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HC Leipzig (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

HC Rodertal (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-25	W
23/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-26	W
16/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-25	W
09/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
02/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	21-31	L
25/04	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-22	W
18/04	TG Nurtingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-32	L
05/04	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-30	L
28/03	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-23	W
21/03	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-24	W

HC Leipzig (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/08	DHK Banik Most (W) Club Friendlies Women	33-27	W
25/07	Lazne Kynzvart (W) Club Friendlies Women	28-29	L
30/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-24	W
24/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-22	W
17/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-27	W
09/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	21-25	L
03/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-19	W
25/04	TG Nurtingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-32	L
19/04	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-16	W
05/04	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Rodertal (W) vs HC Leipzig (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HC Rodertal (W) 43% · HC Leipzig (W) 57%).

How many points are expected in HC Rodertal (W) vs HC Leipzig (W)?

The model estimates 56.9 total points (HC Rodertal (W) 28.6 · HC Leipzig (W) 28.3).