Handball · Germany Cup Women · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin (W) vs SV Werder Bremen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

Fuchse Berlin (W)31.9

SV Werder Bremen (W)29

1X2

62% 38%

Fuchse Berlin (W) SV Werder Bremen (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWLL

SV Werder Bremen (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin (W) 4–1–1 SV Werder Bremen (W) (6 last)

Fuchse Berlin (W)28-26SV Werder Bremen (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)21-21Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)27-25SV Werder Bremen (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)19-25Fuchse Berlin (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)27-28Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)32-33SV Werder Bremen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin (W) 1554 · SV Werder Bremen (W) 1551

	Fuchse Berlin (W)	SV Werder Bremen (W)
Our model	60%	40%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +6.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9Fuchse Berlin (W) 31.9 · SV Werder Bremen (W) 29

Match keys

H2H favours Fuchse Berlin (W): 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin (W)	SV Werder Bremen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.3 / 26.3	32.9 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 27.6	34.2 / 30
Est. result	32	29

Est. total60.9

Line O/U54.5

Diff.6.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.85

Under 54.51.85

Diff.: 5.9 · Est. total: 60.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:42 +4’	1.60	8.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin (W) 4–1–1 SV Werder Bremen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	28-26	SV Werder Bremen (W)
25/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	21-21	Fuchse Berlin (W)
01/02/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	27-25	SV Werder Bremen (W)
14/09/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	19-25	Fuchse Berlin (W)
27/04/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	27-28	Fuchse Berlin (W)
02/12/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	32-33	SV Werder Bremen (W)

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin (W)	SV Werder Bremen (W)
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	36-27 W	34-29 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	32-29 W	33-32 W
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	35-22 W	35-34 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fuchse Berlin (W)

WWWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-33	L
03/06	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-29	L
30/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-27	W
23/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-17	W
16/05	TG Nurtingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
09/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-21	W
02/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-21	W
25/04	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-32	W
18/04	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-29	W
04/04	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-22	W

SV Werder Bremen (W)

DWLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-32	W
23/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-34	W
16/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-26	W
14/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-29	W
09/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-29	W
02/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-23	W
25/04	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-36	L
18/04	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
05/04	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-32	W
28/03	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-30	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin (W) vs SV Werder Bremen (W)?

Our model gives 62% to Fuchse Berlin (W).

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin (W) vs SV Werder Bremen (W)?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (Fuchse Berlin (W) 31.9 · SV Werder Bremen (W) 29).