Handball · Germany Cup Women · 21/08, 20:00

Prediction: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.2Total

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)31.6

Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)29.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

36% 64%

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWWW

Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWDLWL

Head-to-head

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 2–4 Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) (6 last)

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)23-25Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)28-19ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)30-28ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)28-31ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)27-24Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)22-37Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 1547 · Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) 1501

	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)
Our model	66%	34%
Market	15%	77%

Estimated total (ours) 61.2 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +4.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.2ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 31.6 · Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) 29.6

Match keys

H2H favours Frisch Auf Goppingen (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 28	30.5 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 25	31.2 / 32.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.2

Line O/U56.5

Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X11.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.80

2 (-5.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.75

Under 56.51.95

Diff.: 3.5 · Est. total: 60

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.25 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00
X	9.00 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00
2	1.32 → 1.16▼	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:35 +12’	4.25	9.00	1.32
10:44 +2’	6.00▲	11.00▲	1.16▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 56.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 2–0–4 Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	23-25	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)
12/01/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	28-19	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
03/09/23 Germany Cup Women	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	30-28	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
23/04/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	28-31	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
10/12/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	27-24	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)
12/02/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	22-37	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

LLWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-18	W
23/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-33	W
16/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
09/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-25	W
02/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-22	W
25/04	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-39	L
18/04	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-32	W
04/04	TG Nurtingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
28/03	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-28	L
21/03	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-28	L

Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)

DLLWWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
17/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-25	W
09/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-42	L
03/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
25/04	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-29	W
19/04	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-19	W
04/04	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-27	W
28/03	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-34	L
18/03	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-33	L
01/03	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 36% · Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) 64%).

How many points are expected in ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)?

The model estimates 61.2 total points (ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 31.6 · Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) 29.6).