Handball · Norway 1st Division · 20/09, 18:00
Prediction: Ryger Stavanger vs Melhus
Team pages: Ryger Stavanger · Melhus
Prediction summary
Estimated points
58.8Total
Ryger Stavanger29.3
Melhus29.5
1X2
Ryger Stavanger
Melhus
Markets
Over 57.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Ryger Stavanger
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Melhus
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ryger Stavanger
2–2–2
Melhus
(6 last)
- Ryger Stavanger30-30Melhus
- Melhus31-25Ryger Stavanger
- Ryger Stavanger27-26Melhus
- Melhus27-27Ryger Stavanger
- Ryger Stavanger27-24Melhus
- Melhus34-26Ryger Stavanger
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryger Stavanger 1451 · Melhus 1476
| Ryger Stavanger | Melhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 21% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
58.8 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points58.8Ryger Stavanger 29.3 · Melhus 29.5
Over / Under 57.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~59.3 pts · strength 2
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ryger Stavanger | Melhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 27.2 / 30.7 | 30.6 / 30.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 27 / 30 | 30 / 30.8 |
| Est. result | 29 | 30 |
Est. total58.8
Line O/U57.5
Diff.1.3
Over / Under65% / 35%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryger Stavanger 2–2–2 Melhus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Norway 1st Division | Ryger Stavanger | 30-30 | Melhus |
| 16/11/25 Norway 1st Division | Melhus | 31-25 | Ryger Stavanger |
| 05/03/25 Norway 1st Division | Ryger Stavanger | 27-26 | Melhus |
| 17/11/24 Norway 1st Division | Melhus | 27-27 | Ryger Stavanger |
| 03/03/24 Norway 1st Division | Ryger Stavanger | 27-24 | Melhus |
| 19/11/23 Norway 1st Division | Melhus | 34-26 | Ryger Stavanger |
Standings · Norway 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bækkelaget | 4 | 3 | 1 | 134 | 100 | 6 |
| 2 | Halden | 3 | 3 | 0 | 103 | 82 | 6 |
| 3 | Nordstrand | 4 | 3 | 1 | 123 | 111 | 6 |
| 4 | Charlottenlund SK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 69 | 52 | 4 |
| 5 | Notteroy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 95 | 82 | 4 |
| 6 | Melhus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 49 | 4 |
| 7 | Haslum HK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 81 | 82 | 4 |
| 8 | Bodø HK | 3 | 1 | 2 | 78 | 77 | 2 |
| 9 | Lillestrom HK | 3 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 96 | 2 |
| 10 | Varhaug | 4 | 1 | 3 | 114 | 126 | 2 |
| 11 | Asane | 3 | 1 | 2 | 83 | 95 | 2 |
| 12 | Kragero | 2 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 67 | 0 |
| 13 | Ryger Stavanger | 3 | 0 | 3 | 73 | 95 | 0 |
| 14 | Tiller IL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 71 | 110 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ryger Stavanger | Melhus |
|---|---|---|
| Nordstrand | 27-32 L | 28-35 L |
| Haslum HK | 26-30 L | 30-40 L |
| Asane | 23-29 L | 30-25 W |
| Viking TIF | 26-38 L | 32-35 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryger Stavanger
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Nordstrand Norway 1st Division |
27-32 | L |
| 06/09 | Haslum HK Norway 1st Division |
26-30 | L |
| 30/08 | Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division |
20-33 | L |
| 03/05 | Kjelsas Norway 1st Division |
35-29 | W |
| 29/04 | Notteroy Norway 1st Division |
27-26 | W |
| 12/04 | Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division |
27-33 | L |
| 08/04 | Asane Norway 1st Division |
23-29 | L |
| 29/03 | Viking TIF Norway 1st Division |
26-38 | L |
| 25/03 | Haslum HK Norway 1st Division |
31-27 | W |
| 15/03 | Melhus Norway 1st Division |
30-30 | D |
Melhus
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Bodø HK Norway 1st Division |
29-24 | W |
| 30/08 | Asane Norway 1st Division |
30-25 | W |
| 12/04 | Viking TIF Norway 1st Division |
32-35 | L |
| 08/04 | Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division |
29-30 | L |
| 28/03 | Haslum HK Norway 1st Division |
30-40 | L |
| 25/03 | Bergsoy Norway 1st Division |
31-33 | L |
| 15/03 | Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division |
30-30 | D |
| 08/03 | Tiller IL Norway 1st Division |
21-26 | L |
| 28/02 | Nordstrand Norway 1st Division |
28-35 | L |
| 22/02 | Bjornar Norway 1st Division |
46-31 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryger Stavanger vs Melhus?
Our model gives 63% to Melhus.
How many points are expected in Ryger Stavanger vs Melhus?
The model estimates 58.8 total points (Ryger Stavanger 29.3 · Melhus 29.5).
Over or under 57.5 points?
Recent history points to over 57.5 points (65%).