Handball · Norway 1st Division · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Tiller IL vs Haslum HK

Team pages: Haslum HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

Tiller IL27.6

Haslum HK29.6

1X2

39% 61%

Tiller IL Haslum HK

Recent form · 10 last

Tiller IL 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLWLLL

Haslum HK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Tiller IL 1–1 Haslum HK (2 last)

Haslum HK31-19Tiller IL
Tiller IL34-30Haslum HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiller IL 1438 · Haslum HK 1498

	Tiller IL	Haslum HK
Our model	51%	49%
Market	27%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2Tiller IL 27.6 · Haslum HK 29.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haslum HK (rating 1438 vs 1498).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tiller IL	Haslum HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24.2 / 31.7	28.7 / 29.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.4 / 33	27.2 / 30.2
Est. result	28	30

Est. total57.2

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X9.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.4 · Est. total: 57.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	8.50 → 9.00▲	Bet365 9.00
2	1.85 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:16 +37’	2.30	8.50	1.85
11:56 +1’	3.30▲	9.00▲	1.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiller IL 1–0–1 Haslum HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Norway 1st Division	Haslum HK	31-19	Tiller IL
05/11/25 Norway 1st Division	Tiller IL	34-30	Haslum HK

Standings · Norway 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bækkelaget	4	3	1	134	100	6
2	Halden	3	3	0	103	82	6
3	Nordstrand	4	3	1	123	111	6
4	Charlottenlund SK	2	2	0	69	52	4
5	Notteroy	3	2	1	95	82	4
6	Melhus	2	2	0	59	49	4
7	Haslum HK	3	2	1	81	82	4
8	Bodø HK	3	1	2	78	77	2
9	Lillestrom HK	3	1	2	90	96	2
10	Varhaug	4	1	3	114	126	2
11	Asane	3	1	2	83	95	2
12	Kragero	2	0	2	51	67	0
13	Ryger Stavanger	3	0	3	73	95	0
14	Tiller IL	3	0	3	71	110	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tiller IL	Haslum HK
Grenland Topphandballklub	25-24 W	23-32 L
Bodø HK	26-31 L	23-30 L
Melhus	26-21 W	40-30 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tiller IL (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiller IL

LLLWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	20-38	L
06/09	Halden Norway 1st Division	27-36	L
30/08	Notteroy Norway 1st Division	24-36	L
12/04	Grenland Topphandballklub Norway 1st Division	25-24	W
29/03	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	26-31	L
15/03	Bergsoy Norway 1st Division	28-28	D
08/03	Melhus Norway 1st Division	26-21	W
04/03	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	21-40	L
01/03	Bjornar Norway 1st Division	26-30	L
22/02	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	19-33	L

Haslum HK

WLWLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/09	Varhaug Norway 1st Division	28-26	W
06/09	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	30-26	W
30/08	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	23-30	L
12/04	Asane Norway 1st Division	30-33	L
08/04	Viking TIF Norway 1st Division	25-36	L
28/03	Melhus Norway 1st Division	40-30	W
25/03	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	27-31	L
14/03	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	29-26	W
07/03	Grenland Topphandballklub Norway 1st Division	23-32	L
28/02	Kragero Norway 1st Division	32-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiller IL vs Haslum HK?

Our model gives 61% to Haslum HK.

How many points are expected in Tiller IL vs Haslum HK?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (Tiller IL 27.6 · Haslum HK 29.6).