Handball · Norway 1st Division · 01/11, 17:30

Prediction: Ryger Stavanger vs Tiller IL

Team pages: Ryger Stavanger · Tiller IL

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.4Total

Ryger Stavanger31.7

Tiller IL27.7

1X2

70% 30%

Ryger Stavanger Tiller IL

Recent form · 10 last

Ryger Stavanger 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLLLL

Tiller IL 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Ryger Stavanger 1–1–2 Tiller IL (4 last)

Tiller IL34-25Ryger Stavanger
Ryger Stavanger27-27Tiller IL
Tiller IL25-24Ryger Stavanger
Ryger Stavanger25-19Tiller IL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryger Stavanger 1446 · Tiller IL 1405

	Ryger Stavanger	Tiller IL
Our model	65%	35%
Market	65%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 59.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.4Ryger Stavanger 31.7 · Tiller IL 27.7

Match keys

Ryger Stavanger is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Tiller IL: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ryger Stavanger	Tiller IL
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.6 / 30.1	25.7 / 36.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.2 / 30.2	27.6 / 38
Est. result	32	28

Est. total59.4

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.95

2 (+3.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 59.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:11 +6’	1.37	9.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryger Stavanger 1–1–2 Tiller IL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Norway 1st Division	Tiller IL	34-25	Ryger Stavanger
10/09/25 Norway 1st Division	Ryger Stavanger	27-27	Tiller IL
29/01/25 Norway 1st Division	Tiller IL	25-24	Ryger Stavanger
08/09/24 Norway 1st Division	Ryger Stavanger	25-19	Tiller IL

Standings · Norway 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Halden	8	8	0	0	265	209	16
2	Charlottenlund SK	8	7	0	1	277	228	14
3	Nordstrand	8	6	1	1	258	213	13
4	Melhus	8	6	0	2	255	231	12
5	Bodø HK	8	6	0	2	230	196	12
6	Haslum HK	8	6	0	2	254	227	12
7	Bækkelaget	8	5	0	3	249	218	10
8	Notteroy	8	4	1	3	256	236	9
9	Lillestrom HK	8	2	0	6	235	257	4
10	Varhaug	8	2	0	6	230	255	4
11	Asane	8	2	0	6	216	243	4
12	Ryger Stavanger	8	1	0	7	204	246	2
13	Kragero	9	1	0	8	240	302	2
14	Tiller IL	9	0	0	9	232	340	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ryger Stavanger	Tiller IL
Bodø HK	22-32 L	24-31 L
Charlottenlund SK	29-36 L	32-42 L
Melhus	26-23 W	30-35 L
Nordstrand	27-32 L	24-44 L
Haslum HK	26-30 L	23-40 L
Bækkelaget	20-33 L	20-38 L
Notteroy	27-26 W	24-36 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Ryger Stavanger (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryger Stavanger

WWLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Varhaug Norway 1st Division	26-31	L
17/10	Asane Norway 1st Division	28-29	L
04/10	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	22-32	L
27/09	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	29-36	L
20/09	Melhus Norway 1st Division	26-23	W
13/09	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	27-32	L
06/09	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	26-30	L
30/08	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	20-33	L
03/05	Kjelsas Norway 1st Division	35-29	W
29/04	Notteroy Norway 1st Division	27-26	W

Tiller IL

WLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	24-31	L
18/10	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	32-42	L
11/10	Kragero Norway 1st Division	28-38	L
04/10	Melhus Norway 1st Division	30-35	L
27/09	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	24-44	L
20/09	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	23-40	L
12/09	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	20-38	L
06/09	Halden Norway 1st Division	27-36	L
30/08	Notteroy Norway 1st Division	24-36	L
12/04	Grenland Topphandballklub Norway 1st Division	25-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryger Stavanger vs Tiller IL?

Our model gives 70% to Ryger Stavanger.

How many points are expected in Ryger Stavanger vs Tiller IL?

The model estimates 59.4 total points (Ryger Stavanger 31.7 · Tiller IL 27.7).