Handball · Norway 1st Division · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Melhus vs Notteroy

Team pages: Melhus

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

Melhus30.9

Notteroy30.2

1X2

60% 40%

Melhus Notteroy

Recent form · 10 last

Melhus 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWLWW

Notteroy 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWLWLD

Head-to-head

Melhus 2–2 Notteroy (4 last)

Notteroy33-38Melhus
Melhus24-31Notteroy
Melhus44-32Notteroy
Notteroy36-33Melhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melhus 1523 · Notteroy 1512

	Melhus	Notteroy
Our model	61%	39%
Market	52%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1Melhus 30.9 · Notteroy 30.2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Melhus	Notteroy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.6 / 29.6	31.4 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.6 / 31.2	32.2 / 30.8
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.75

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 60.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:09 +6’	1.75	8.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Melhus 2–0–2 Notteroy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/24 Norway 1st Division	Notteroy	33-38	Melhus
15/10/23 Norway 1st Division	Melhus	24-31	Notteroy
15/01/23 Norway 1st Division	Melhus	44-32	Notteroy
04/09/22 Norway 1st Division	Notteroy	36-33	Melhus

Standings · Norway 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Halden	8	8	0	0	265	209	16
2	Charlottenlund SK	8	7	0	1	277	228	14
3	Nordstrand	8	6	1	1	258	213	13
4	Melhus	8	6	0	2	255	231	12
5	Bodø HK	8	6	0	2	230	196	12
6	Haslum HK	8	6	0	2	254	227	12
7	Bækkelaget	8	5	0	3	249	218	10
8	Notteroy	8	4	1	3	256	236	9
9	Lillestrom HK	8	2	0	6	235	257	4
10	Varhaug	8	2	0	6	230	255	4
11	Asane	8	2	0	6	216	243	4
12	Ryger Stavanger	8	1	0	7	204	246	2
13	Kragero	9	1	0	8	240	302	2
14	Tiller IL	9	0	0	9	232	340	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melhus	Notteroy
Kragero	35-29 W	32-25 W
Lillestrom HK	33-29 W	27-33 L
Tiller IL	35-30 W	36-24 W
Ryger Stavanger	23-26 L	26-27 L
Asane	30-25 W	30-29 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Notteroy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melhus

LLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Kragero Norway 1st Division	35-29	W
18/10	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	33-29	W
14/10	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	33-37	L
04/10	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	35-30	W
27/09	Varhaug Norway 1st Division	37-31	W
20/09	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	23-26	L
13/09	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	29-24	W
30/08	Asane Norway 1st Division	30-25	W
12/04	Viking TIF Norway 1st Division	32-35	L
08/04	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	29-30	L

Notteroy

WLWLWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	27-27	D
17/10	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	36-38	L
04/10	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	38-28	W
26/09	Halden Norway 1st Division	30-32	L
20/09	Asane Norway 1st Division	30-29	W
13/09	Kragero Norway 1st Division	32-25	W
05/09	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	27-33	L
30/08	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	36-24	W
29/04	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	26-27	L
25/04	Kjelsas Norway 1st Division	32-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melhus vs Notteroy?

Our model gives 60% to Melhus.

How many points are expected in Melhus vs Notteroy?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (Melhus 30.9 · Notteroy 30.2).