Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 27/09, 17:00

Prediction: TuSEM Essen vs TuS N-Lubbecke

Team pages: TuSEM Essen · TuS N-Lubbecke

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.5Total

TuSEM Essen31.3

TuS N-Lubbecke30.2

1X2

58% 42%

TuSEM Essen TuS N-Lubbecke

Recent form · 10 last

TuSEM Essen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLDLL

TuS N-Lubbecke 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLWL

Head-to-head

TuSEM Essen 4–1–1 TuS N-Lubbecke (6 last)

TuS N-Lubbecke30-29TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen33-33TuS N-Lubbecke
TuS N-Lubbecke20-24TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen29-23TuS N-Lubbecke
TuS N-Lubbecke27-28TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen31-28TuS N-Lubbecke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TuSEM Essen 1482 · TuS N-Lubbecke 1495

	TuSEM Essen	TuS N-Lubbecke
Our model	58%	42%
Market	52%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 61.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.5TuSEM Essen 31.3 · TuS N-Lubbecke 30.2

Match keys

H2H favours TuSEM Essen: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TuSEM Essen	TuS N-Lubbecke
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 32.3	29 / 30.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 33.8	29 / 31.8
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.5

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.75

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 61.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:36 +32’	1.75	8.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TuSEM Essen 4–1–1 TuS N-Lubbecke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	30-29	TuSEM Essen
12/12/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	33-33	TuS N-Lubbecke
26/03/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	20-24	TuSEM Essen
18/10/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	29-23	TuS N-Lubbecke
24/02/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	27-28	TuSEM Essen
29/09/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	31-28	TuS N-Lubbecke

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. Vfl Potsdam	4	4	0	0	121	112	8
1	SC DHFK Leipzig	4	4	0	0	127	118	8
3	VfL Eintracht Hagen	4	3	0	1	142	110	6
4	HC Elbflorenz 2006	4	3	0	1	152	125	6
5	VFL Bad Schwartau	4	3	0	1	139	115	6
6	TUS Ferndorf	4	3	0	1	134	117	6
7	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	4	2	1	1	119	111	5
8	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	4	2	0	2	133	126	4
9	TV Emsdetten	4	2	0	2	128	124	4
10	TSV GWD Minden	4	1	1	2	114	110	3
11	HSC 2000 Coburg	4	1	1	2	111	127	3
12	TV Grosswallstadt	4	1	0	3	121	130	2
13	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	4	1	0	3	106	118	2
14	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	4	1	0	3	120	134	2
15	TuS N-Lubbecke	4	1	0	3	107	126	2
16	TSV Bayer Dormagen	4	1	0	3	115	135	2
17	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	4	1	0	3	95	125	2
18	TuSEM Essen	4	0	1	3	115	136	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TuSEM Essen	TuS N-Lubbecke
TSV Bayer Dormagen	26-28 L	29-25 W
HC Elbflorenz 2006	26-42 L	31-37 L
TSV GWD Minden	34-34 D	24-30 L
TUS Ferndorf	35-33 W	28-24 W
VFL Bad Schwartau	29-29 D	23-34 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TuS N-Lubbecke (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TuSEM Essen

LDWLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-28	L
11/09	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-42	L
06/09	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
30/08	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-32	L
06/06	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-33	W
29/05	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-34	W
23/05	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-30	L
10/05	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	37-28	W
01/05	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-29	D
26/04	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-33	L

TuS N-Lubbecke

WWLWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-30	L
12/09	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-25	W
05/09	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-37	L
28/08	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-34	L
06/06	HC Oppenweiler/Backnang Germany 2 Bundesliga	38-33	W
30/05	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-33	W
23/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-29	W
08/05	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-32	L
03/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-24	W
24/04	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TuSEM Essen vs TuS N-Lubbecke?

Our model gives 58% to TuSEM Essen.

How many points are expected in TuSEM Essen vs TuS N-Lubbecke?

The model estimates 61.5 total points (TuSEM Essen 31.3 · TuS N-Lubbecke 30.2).