Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 05/10, 19:30

Prediction: 1. Vfl Potsdam vs TUS Ferndorf

Team pages: 1. Vfl Potsdam · TUS Ferndorf

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.1Total

1. Vfl Potsdam30.6

TUS Ferndorf29.5

1X2

76% 24%

1. Vfl Potsdam TUS Ferndorf

Recent form · 10 last

1. Vfl Potsdam 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWWWW

TUS Ferndorf 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLWL

Head-to-head

1. Vfl Potsdam 0–1–1 TUS Ferndorf (2 last)

1. Vfl Potsdam30-30TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf30-231. Vfl Potsdam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 1. Vfl Potsdam 1582 · TUS Ferndorf 1489

	1. Vfl Potsdam	TUS Ferndorf
Our model	72%	28%
Market	71%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 60.1 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.11. Vfl Potsdam 30.6 · TUS Ferndorf 29.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 1. Vfl Potsdam (rating 1582 vs 1489).
1. Vfl Potsdam is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	1. Vfl Potsdam	TUS Ferndorf
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 28.9	31.1 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 27.4	31.2 / 28.4
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.1

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X10.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.75

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 2 · Est. total: 60.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +8’	1.27	10.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · 1. Vfl Potsdam 0–1–1 TUS Ferndorf

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	30-30	TUS Ferndorf
25/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	30-23	1. Vfl Potsdam

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. Vfl Potsdam	5	5	0	0	150	137	10
2	SC DHFK Leipzig	6	5	0	1	188	177	10
3	HC Elbflorenz 2006	5	4	0	1	195	153	8
4	VfL Eintracht Hagen	5	4	0	1	167	132	8
5	VFL Bad Schwartau	5	4	0	1	172	144	8
6	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	5	3	1	1	152	140	7
7	TUS Ferndorf	5	3	0	2	156	142	6
8	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	5	3	0	2	166	158	6
9	TuS N-Lubbecke	6	2	1	3	165	180	5
10	HSC 2000 Coburg	6	1	3	2	169	185	5
11	TV Emsdetten	5	2	0	3	157	157	4
12	TSV Bayer Dormagen	5	2	0	3	142	161	4
13	TSV GWD Minden	5	1	1	3	146	143	3
14	TV Grosswallstadt	5	1	1	3	153	162	3
15	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	5	1	0	4	135	151	2
16	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	5	1	0	4	145	163	2
17	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	5	1	0	4	123	168	2
18	TuSEM Essen	6	0	1	5	175	203	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	1. Vfl Potsdam	TUS Ferndorf
Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	29-25 W	39-33 W
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	23-19 W	34-27 W
TV Emsdetten	34-31 W	31-26 W
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	33-32 W	31-34 L
HSC 2000 Coburg	31-30 W	30-31 L
VfL Eintracht Hagen	30-34 L	22-25 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Ferndorf (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

1. Vfl Potsdam

WWWDLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-25	W
19/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-19	W
14/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-31	W
09/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-32	W
29/08	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
06/06	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-34	L
30/05	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-29	D
24/05	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-29	W
10/05	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-33	W
02/05	HC Oppenweiler/Backnang Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-27	W

TUS Ferndorf

WLLLLWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	22-25	L
18/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	39-33	W
12/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-26	W
29/08	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-27	W
06/06	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-35	L
30/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-34	L
23/05	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-29	L
09/05	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-35	L
02/05	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 1. Vfl Potsdam vs TUS Ferndorf?

Our model gives 76% to 1. Vfl Potsdam.

How many points are expected in 1. Vfl Potsdam vs TUS Ferndorf?

The model estimates 60.1 total points (1. Vfl Potsdam 30.6 · TUS Ferndorf 29.5).