Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 03/10, 19:30

Prediction: HSG Nordhorn-Lingen vs VfL Eintracht Hagen

Team pages: HSG Nordhorn-Lingen · VfL Eintracht Hagen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.9Total

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen30.5

VfL Eintracht Hagen31.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen VfL Eintracht Hagen

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 59.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLDW

VfL Eintracht Hagen 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 3–1–2 VfL Eintracht Hagen (6 last)

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen21-28VfL Eintracht Hagen
VfL Eintracht Hagen27-23HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
VfL Eintracht Hagen28-28HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen32-30VfL Eintracht Hagen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen39-37VfL Eintracht Hagen
VfL Eintracht Hagen33-38HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 1521 · VfL Eintracht Hagen 1576

	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	VfL Eintracht Hagen
Our model	52%	48%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 61.9 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.9HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 30.5 · VfL Eintracht Hagen 31.4

Over / Under 59.5Over · 80%recent trend · ~61.6 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours HSG Nordhorn-Lingen: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	VfL Eintracht Hagen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.3 / 29.3	32.9 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 28	33.4 / 26.4
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.9

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.4

Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.7 · Est. total: 62.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +5’	1.85	8.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 3–1–2 VfL Eintracht Hagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	21-28	VfL Eintracht Hagen
07/09/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VfL Eintracht Hagen	27-23	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
11/04/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VfL Eintracht Hagen	28-28	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
03/11/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	32-30	VfL Eintracht Hagen
03/03/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	39-37	VfL Eintracht Hagen
08/10/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VfL Eintracht Hagen	33-38	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. Vfl Potsdam	5	5	0	0	150	137	10
2	HC Elbflorenz 2006	5	4	0	1	195	153	8
3	VfL Eintracht Hagen	5	4	0	1	167	132	8
4	VFL Bad Schwartau	5	4	0	1	172	144	8
5	SC DHFK Leipzig	5	4	0	1	153	145	8
6	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	5	3	1	1	152	140	7
7	TUS Ferndorf	5	3	0	2	156	142	6
8	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	5	3	0	2	166	158	6
9	TV Emsdetten	5	2	0	3	157	157	4
10	TuS N-Lubbecke	5	2	0	3	139	154	4
11	HSC 2000 Coburg	5	1	2	2	143	159	4
12	TSV Bayer Dormagen	5	2	0	3	142	161	4
13	TSV GWD Minden	5	1	1	3	146	143	3
14	TV Grosswallstadt	5	1	1	3	153	162	3
15	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	5	1	0	4	135	151	2
16	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	5	1	0	4	145	163	2
17	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	5	1	0	4	123	168	2
18	TuSEM Essen	5	0	1	4	143	168	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	VfL Eintracht Hagen
HSC 2000 Coburg	31-31 D	35-19 W
ASV Hamm-Westfalen	28-20 W	41-23 W
TUS Ferndorf	35-31 W	25-22 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: VfL Eintracht Hagen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

WWWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-29	W
18/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-31	D
12/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-31	L
05/09	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-20	W
30/08	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-29	W
06/06	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-28	W
29/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-35	L
21/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-33	W
09/05	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-31	W
01/05	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-26	W

VfL Eintracht Hagen

LWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-22	W
20/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-37	L
11/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-31	W
06/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-19	W
28/08	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	41-23	W
06/06	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-30	W
31/05	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	37-33	W
23/05	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-40	L
08/05	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-27	W
02/05	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Nordhorn-Lingen vs VfL Eintracht Hagen?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 54% · VfL Eintracht Hagen 46%).

How many points are expected in HSG Nordhorn-Lingen vs VfL Eintracht Hagen?

The model estimates 61.9 total points (HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 30.5 · VfL Eintracht Hagen 31.4).

Over or under 59.5 points?

Recent history points to over 59.5 points (80%).