Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: Sandnes vs Follo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

Sandnes27.9

Follo30.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Sandnes Follo

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Sandnes 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLWW

Follo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Sandnes 2–1–3 Follo (6 last)

Sandnes33-37Follo
Follo29-28Sandnes
Follo31-31Sandnes
Sandnes27-23Follo
Follo40-32Sandnes
Sandnes31-25Follo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandnes 1453 · Follo 1456

	Sandnes	Follo
Our model	60%	40%
Market	35%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58Sandnes 27.9 · Follo 30.1

Match keys

H2H favours Follo: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sandnes	Follo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	23.7 / 30.1	31.4 / 32.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	23.2 / 26.6	30.4 / 32.2
Est. result	28	30

Est. total58

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.75

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 58.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:10 +39’	2.55	8.00	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes 2–1–3 Follo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Norway Eliteserien	Sandnes	33-37	Follo
19/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	29-28	Sandnes
16/02/25 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	31-31	Sandnes
25/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	Sandnes	27-23	Follo
09/03/22 Norway 1st Division	Follo	40-32	Sandnes
15/09/21 Norway 1st Division	Sandnes	31-25	Follo

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bergen Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bergsoy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Drammen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elverum	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fjellhammer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Follo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kolstad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kristiansand	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nærbø IL	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OIF Arendal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Runar Sandefjord	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandefjord	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandnes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Viking TIF	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandnes	Follo
Runar Sandefjord	22-28 L	38-32 W
Fjellhammer	14-28 L	32-33 L
Elverum	24-35 L	26-30 L
Sandefjord	34-28 W	31-41 L
Bækkelaget	15-32 L	30-30 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Follo (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandnes

LLLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/04	Bodø HK Norway Eliteserien	29-22	W
22/04	Bodø HK Norway Eliteserien	27-20	W
11/04	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-28	L
08/04	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	14-28	L
27/03	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	24-35	L
15/03	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	34-28	W
08/03	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	16-40	L
28/02	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	15-32	L
22/02	Follo Norway Eliteserien	33-37	L
15/02	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	23-31	L

Follo

DLLWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L
08/04	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
28/03	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-36	L
15/03	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L
08/03	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	24-29	L
01/03	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	38-32	W
22/02	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	37-33	W
14/02	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L
11/02	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	31-41	L
08/02	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandnes vs Follo?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sandnes 48% · Follo 52%).

How many points are expected in Sandnes vs Follo?

The model estimates 58 total points (Sandnes 27.9 · Follo 30.1).