Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 01/11, 18:15

Prediction: Larvik (W) vs Molde (W)

Team pages: Larvik (W) · Molde (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

Larvik (W)30.1

Molde (W)27.9

1X2

61% 39%

Larvik (W) Molde (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Larvik (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

Molde (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Larvik (W) 4–2 Molde (W) (6 last)

Larvik (W)27-28Molde (W)
Molde (W)33-32Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)34-23Molde (W)
Molde (W)26-29Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)34-31Molde (W)
Molde (W)28-37Larvik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Larvik (W) 1563 · Molde (W) 1539

	Larvik (W)	Molde (W)
Our model	63%	37%
Market	53%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58Larvik (W) 30.1 · Molde (W) 27.9

Match keys

H2H favours Larvik (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Larvik (W)	Molde (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.1 / 27.5	28.4 / 26.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 27.8	27.8 / 24
Est. result	30	28

Est. total58

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.72

X8.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.90

Under 58.51.80

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 57.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.72	Bet365 1.72
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +27’	1.72	8.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Larvik (W) 4–0–2 Molde (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	27-28	Molde (W)
16/11/25 European League Qual. Women	Molde (W)	33-32	Larvik (W)
09/11/25 European League Qual. Women	Larvik (W)	34-23	Molde (W)
29/10/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	26-29	Larvik (W)
13/03/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	34-31	Molde (W)
07/09/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	28-37	Larvik (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	7	7	0	0	235	186	14
2	Sola (W)	6	5	1	0	189	150	11
3	Fredrikstad (W)	7	5	1	1	216	199	11
4	Storhamar (W)	7	5	0	2	195	155	10
5	Molde (W)	7	5	0	2	198	166	10
6	Tertnes (W)	7	5	0	2	241	206	10
7	Fjellhammer (W)	7	3	2	2	208	198	8
8	Byasen (W)	7	3	1	3	184	189	7
9	Follo HK (W)	7	2	0	5	196	234	4
10	Gjerpen (W)	7	2	0	5	176	214	4
11	Fana (W)	6	1	1	4	161	180	3
12	Utleira (W)	7	1	0	6	160	198	2
13	Oppsal (W)	7	1	0	6	183	227	2
14	Flint Tonsberg (W)	7	0	0	7	183	223	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Larvik (W)	Molde (W)
Storhamar (W)	27-25 W	21-18 W
Byasen (W)	39-34 W	26-27 L
Utleira (W)	25-21 W	32-23 W
Follo HK (W)	40-24 W	29-32 L
Fana (W)	31-23 W	31-20 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Molde (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larvik (W)

WLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/10	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	38-34	W
07/10	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-25	W
30/09	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-25	W
20/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	39-34	W
10/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-21	W
02/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	40-24	W
30/08	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-23	W
15/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
12/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	22-32	L
03/05	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-27	W

Molde (W)

DLLWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-18	W
07/10	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-27	L
30/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-23	W
20/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-32	L
12/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-20	W
05/09	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-23	W
30/08	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
14/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-29	L
11/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-39	L
07/05	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-31	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larvik (W) vs Molde (W)?

Our model gives 61% to Larvik (W).

How many points are expected in Larvik (W) vs Molde (W)?

The model estimates 58 total points (Larvik (W) 30.1 · Molde (W) 27.9).