Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: Molde (W) vs Gjerpen (W)

Team pages: Molde (W) · Gjerpen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.2Total

Molde (W)30.3

Gjerpen (W)24.9

1X2

85% 15%

Molde (W) Gjerpen (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Molde (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLWLW

Gjerpen (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Molde (W) 5–1–0 Gjerpen (W) (6 last)

Molde (W)36-36Gjerpen (W)
Gjerpen (W)24-28Molde (W)
Molde (W)31-26Gjerpen (W)
Molde (W)26-24Gjerpen (W)
Gjerpen (W)23-41Molde (W)
Gjerpen (W)22-26Molde (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molde (W) 1556 · Gjerpen (W) 1453

	Molde (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Our model	73%	27%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 55.2 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.2Molde (W) 30.3 · Gjerpen (W) 24.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molde (W) (rating 1556 vs 1453).
Molde (W) is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Molde (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Molde (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.1 / 25	24.7 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.8 / 24.6	25.2 / 29
Est. result	30	25

Est. total55.2

Line O/U55.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.02

X18.00

214.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.75

2 (+8.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.95

Under 55.51.75

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 53.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +7’	1.02	18.00	14.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Molde (W) 5–1–0 Gjerpen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	36-36	Gjerpen (W)
10/09/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	24-28	Molde (W)
17/08/25 Club Friendlies Women	Molde (W)	31-26	Gjerpen (W)
05/02/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	26-24	Gjerpen (W)
17/11/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	23-41	Molde (W)
06/03/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	22-26	Molde (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	9	8	0	1	299	249	16
2	Storhamar (W)	9	7	0	2	257	203	14
3	Fredrikstad (W)	9	6	2	1	276	245	14
4	Sola (W)	8	6	1	1	250	205	13
5	Molde (W)	9	6	0	3	253	221	12
6	Fjellhammer (W)	9	5	2	2	271	253	12
7	Tertnes (W)	9	6	0	3	292	256	12
8	Byasen (W)	9	4	2	3	241	232	10
9	Follo HK (W)	9	3	0	6	257	291	6
10	Gjerpen (W)	9	3	0	6	220	266	6
11	Fana (W)	8	2	1	5	214	229	5
12	Oppsal (W)	9	1	0	8	236	292	2
13	Utleira (W)	9	1	0	8	208	267	2
14	Flint Tonsberg (W)	9	0	0	9	226	291	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molde (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Tertnes (W)	30-20 W	20-31 L
Larvik (W)	25-35 L	25-35 L
Storhamar (W)	21-18 W	18-35 L
Byasen (W)	26-27 L	16-22 L
Fana (W)	31-20 W	24-21 W
Oppsal (W)	33-23 W	29-27 W
Fjellhammer (W)	26-23 W	28-31 L
Sola (W)	28-29 L	27-34 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Molde (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molde (W)

LWWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-20	W
01/11	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-35	L
14/10	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-18	W
07/10	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-27	L
30/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-23	W
20/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-32	L
12/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-20	W
05/09	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-23	W
30/08	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
14/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-29	L

Gjerpen (W)

LLWLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	24-21	W
01/11	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-31	L
14/10	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-27	W
07/10	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-35	L
04/10	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-31	L
30/09	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-35	L
02/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	16-22	L
30/08	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-29	W
26/08	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	18-35	L
03/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molde (W) vs Gjerpen (W)?

Our model gives 85% to Molde (W).

How many points are expected in Molde (W) vs Gjerpen (W)?

The model estimates 55.2 total points (Molde (W) 30.3 · Gjerpen (W) 24.9).