Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 11/11, 18:00

Prediction: Storhamar (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)

Team pages: Storhamar (W) · Fredrikstad (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.9Total

Storhamar (W)29.1

Fredrikstad (W)25.8

1X2

75% 25%

Storhamar (W) Fredrikstad (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Storhamar (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Fredrikstad (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Storhamar (W) 6–0 Fredrikstad (W) (6 last)

Fredrikstad (W)28-30Storhamar (W)
Storhamar (W)31-24Fredrikstad (W)
Storhamar (W)33-26Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)19-34Storhamar (W)
Storhamar (W)35-26Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)22-42Storhamar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Storhamar (W) 1605 · Fredrikstad (W) 1532

	Storhamar (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Our model	69%	31%
Market	72%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 54.9 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.9Storhamar (W) 29.1 · Fredrikstad (W) 25.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Storhamar (W) (rating 1605 vs 1532).
Storhamar (W) is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Storhamar (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Storhamar (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 22.6	30.4 / 27.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28 / 24.6	30.8 / 25
Est. result	29	26

Est. total54.9

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X9.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.75

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 54.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:14 +1’	1.25	9.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Storhamar (W) 6–0–0 Fredrikstad (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	28-30	Storhamar (W)
29/04/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	31-24	Fredrikstad (W)
01/03/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	33-26	Fredrikstad (W)
29/10/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	19-34	Storhamar (W)
29/01/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	35-26	Fredrikstad (W)
02/01/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	22-42	Storhamar (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	9	8	0	1	299	249	16
2	Storhamar (W)	9	7	0	2	257	203	14
3	Fredrikstad (W)	9	6	2	1	276	245	14
4	Sola (W)	8	6	1	1	250	205	13
5	Molde (W)	9	6	0	3	253	221	12
6	Fjellhammer (W)	9	5	2	2	271	253	12
7	Tertnes (W)	9	6	0	3	292	256	12
8	Byasen (W)	9	4	2	3	241	232	10
9	Follo HK (W)	9	3	0	6	257	291	6
10	Gjerpen (W)	9	3	0	6	220	266	6
11	Fana (W)	8	2	1	5	214	229	5
12	Oppsal (W)	9	1	0	8	236	292	2
13	Utleira (W)	9	1	0	8	208	267	2
14	Flint Tonsberg (W)	9	0	0	9	226	291	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Storhamar (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Flint Tonsberg (W)	36-25 W	38-28 W
Sola (W)	26-23 W	20-33 L
Byasen (W)	28-21 W	25-25 D
Utleira (W)	26-20 W	35-21 W
Follo HK (W)	28-21 W	31-24 W
Gjerpen (W)	35-18 W	35-30 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Storhamar (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Storhamar (W)

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-25	W
31/10	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
14/10	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	18-21	L
07/10	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-27	W
30/09	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-27	L
08/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-21	W
02/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-20	W
30/08	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-21	W
26/08	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-18	W
31/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-23	W

Fredrikstad (W)

LLWDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-25	D
01/11	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-21	W
15/10	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-24	W
11/10	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-29	W
03/10	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-26	W
30/09	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-30	W
20/09	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-29	D
10/09	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	38-28	W
30/08	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-33	L
04/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Storhamar (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)?

Our model gives 75% to Storhamar (W).

How many points are expected in Storhamar (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)?

The model estimates 54.9 total points (Storhamar (W) 29.1 · Fredrikstad (W) 25.8).