Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: Follo HK (W) vs Molde (W)

Team pages: Follo HK (W) · Molde (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

Follo HK (W)27

Molde (W)31.4

1X2

24% 76%

Follo HK (W) Molde (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Follo HK (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWLLL

Molde (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLLWWW

Head-to-head

Follo HK (W) 0–6 Molde (W) (6 last)

Follo HK (W)20-39Molde (W)
Molde (W)28-27Follo HK (W)
Molde (W)28-20Follo HK (W)
Follo HK (W)30-31Molde (W)
Molde (W)36-33Follo HK (W)
Follo HK (W)28-32Molde (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo HK (W) 1485 · Molde (W) 1553

	Follo HK (W)	Molde (W)
Our model	50%	50%
Market	6%	89%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4Follo HK (W) 27 · Molde (W) 31.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molde (W) (rating 1485 vs 1553).
Molde (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Molde (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Follo HK (W)	Molde (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.8 / 33.4	30 / 27.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 33.4	29 / 26.8
Est. result	27	31

Est. total58.4

Line O/U60.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

115.00

X20.00

21.01

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+10.5)1.85

2 (-10.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 58.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:32 +20’	15.00	20.00	1.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo HK (W) 0–0–6 Molde (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	20-39	Molde (W)
25/10/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	28-27	Follo HK (W)
23/09/25 Norway Cup Women	Molde (W)	28-20	Follo HK (W)
01/02/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	30-31	Molde (W)
09/11/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	36-33	Follo HK (W)
18/08/24 Club Friendlies Women	Follo HK (W)	28-32	Molde (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Storhamar (W)	4	4	0	117	80	8
2	Sola (W)	3	3	0	97	64	6
3	Larvik (W)	3	3	0	96	68	6
4	Tertnes (W)	3	3	0	106	81	6
5	Molde (W)	3	3	0	90	66	6
6	Byasen (W)	3	2	1	70	61	4
7	Fjellhammer (W)	3	1	2	78	81	2
8	Fredrikstad (W)	2	1	1	58	61	2
9	Gjerpen (W)	3	1	2	64	86	2
10	Flint Tonsberg (W)	3	0	3	83	103	0
11	Utleira (W)	3	0	3	58	78	0
12	Fana (W)	3	0	3	70	93	0
13	Follo HK (W)	3	0	3	75	107	0
14	Oppsal (W)	3	0	3	71	104	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Follo HK (W)	Molde (W)
Oppsal (W)	28-25 W	33-23 W
Fjellhammer (W)	23-32 L	26-23 W
Sola (W)	27-45 L	28-29 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Molde (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo HK (W)

LLWLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/09	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-39	L
02/09	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	24-40	L
30/08	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-28	L
22/04	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-25	W
15/04	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-35	L
29/03	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-26	D
22/03	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	23-32	L
15/03	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-25	W
11/03	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-39	L
01/03	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-45	L

Molde (W)

WDLWDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-20	W
05/09	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-23	W
30/08	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
14/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-29	L
11/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-39	L
07/05	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-31	D
03/05	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-26	W
29/04	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-41	L
22/04	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-30	D
16/04	Romerike Ravens (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	37-17	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo HK (W) vs Molde (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Molde (W).

How many points are expected in Follo HK (W) vs Molde (W)?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (Follo HK (W) 27 · Molde (W) 31.4).