Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Fjellhammer (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)

Team pages: Fjellhammer (W) · Fredrikstad (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.8Total

Fjellhammer (W)27

Fredrikstad (W)28.8

1X2

24% 76%

Fjellhammer (W) Fredrikstad (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Fjellhammer (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWLLW

Fredrikstad (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLLLW

Head-to-head

Fjellhammer (W) 0–6 Fredrikstad (W) (6 last)

Fjellhammer (W)32-38Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)31-22Fjellhammer (W)
Fjellhammer (W)17-35Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)27-26Fjellhammer (W)
Fredrikstad (W)29-17Fjellhammer (W)
Fredrikstad (W)36-16Fjellhammer (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fjellhammer (W) 1459 · Fredrikstad (W) 1554

	Fjellhammer (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Our model	46%	54%
Market	9%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 55.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -6.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.8Fjellhammer (W) 27 · Fredrikstad (W) 28.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fredrikstad (W) (rating 1459 vs 1554).
Fredrikstad (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Fredrikstad (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fjellhammer (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.8 / 29.1	28.4 / 27.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.6 / 27.4	28 / 30.4
Est. result	27	29

Est. total55.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.6.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

110.00

X15.00

21.06

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.85

2 (-7.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.72

Under 62.52.00

Diff.: 6.5 · Est. total: 56

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
21:51 +5’	10.00	15.00	1.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fjellhammer (W) 0–0–6 Fredrikstad (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 Norway Cup Women	Fjellhammer (W)	32-38	Fredrikstad (W)
13/08/26 Club Friendlies Women	Fredrikstad (W)	31-22	Fjellhammer (W)
16/04/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fjellhammer (W)	17-35	Fredrikstad (W)
21/01/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	27-26	Fjellhammer (W)
17/08/25 Club Friendlies Women	Fredrikstad (W)	29-17	Fjellhammer (W)
22/01/17 Norway 1st Division Women	Fredrikstad (W)	36-16	Fjellhammer (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Storhamar (W)	4	4	0	117	80	8
2	Sola (W)	3	3	0	97	64	6
3	Larvik (W)	3	3	0	96	68	6
4	Tertnes (W)	3	3	0	106	81	6
5	Molde (W)	3	3	0	90	66	6
6	Byasen (W)	3	2	1	70	61	4
7	Fjellhammer (W)	3	1	2	78	81	2
8	Fredrikstad (W)	2	1	1	58	61	2
9	Gjerpen (W)	3	1	2	64	86	2
10	Flint Tonsberg (W)	3	0	3	83	103	0
11	Utleira (W)	3	0	3	58	78	0
12	Fana (W)	3	0	3	70	93	0
13	Follo HK (W)	3	0	3	75	107	0
14	Oppsal (W)	3	0	3	71	104	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fjellhammer (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Flint Tonsberg (W)	35-26 W	38-28 W
Sola (W)	20-29 L	20-33 L
Molde (W)	23-26 L	30-30 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fredrikstad (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fjellhammer (W)

LWLLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-26	W
02/09	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-29	L
30/08	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	23-26	L
06/05	Aker (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-24	W
03/05	Aker (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-32	W
22/04	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-26	W
16/04	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	17-35	L
29/03	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-30	L
22/03	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-23	W
18/03	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-40	L

Fredrikstad (W)

WLWLWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/09	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	38-28	W
30/08	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-33	L
04/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
29/04	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	24-31	L
22/04	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-30	D
16/04	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-17	W
28/03	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-37	L
22/03	Baerum Women Norway Eliteserien Women	35-19	W
18/03	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-29	L
12/03	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fjellhammer (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Fredrikstad (W).

How many points are expected in Fjellhammer (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)?

The model estimates 55.8 total points (Fjellhammer (W) 27 · Fredrikstad (W) 28.8).