Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 04/11, 18:00

Prediction: Molde (W) vs Tertnes (W)

Team pages: Molde (W) · Tertnes (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.8Total

Molde (W)29.2

Tertnes (W)28.5

1X2

64% 36%

Molde (W) Tertnes (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Molde (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWLWL

Tertnes (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Molde (W) 3–1–2 Tertnes (W) (6 last)

Molde (W)34-25Tertnes (W)
Tertnes (W)27-27Molde (W)
Tertnes (W)22-31Molde (W)
Tertnes (W)33-29Molde (W)
Molde (W)34-35Tertnes (W)
Molde (W)41-36Tertnes (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molde (W) 1526 · Tertnes (W) 1540

	Molde (W)	Tertnes (W)
Our model	58%	42%
Market	60%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 57.8 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.8Molde (W) 29.2 · Tertnes (W) 28.5

Match keys

H2H favours Molde (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Molde (W)	Tertnes (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.8 / 26.9	32.4 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 27	33.2 / 29
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57.8

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

X8.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.95

2 (+2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.75

Under 57.51.95

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 58.15

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.90 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:08 +7’	2.20	8.00	1.90
03:02 +13’	2.10▼	8.00	2.00▲
06:54 +21’	1.95▼	8.00	2.20▲
09:10 +5’	1.75▼	8.00	2.50▲
17:10 +5’	1.50▼	8.00	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Molde (W) 3–1–2 Tertnes (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	34-25	Tertnes (W)
17/12/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Tertnes (W)	27-27	Molde (W)
08/10/25 Norway Cup Women	Tertnes (W)	22-31	Molde (W)
29/04/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Tertnes (W)	33-29	Molde (W)
24/04/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	34-35	Tertnes (W)
23/03/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	41-36	Tertnes (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	8	8	0	0	270	211	16
2	Fredrikstad (W)	8	6	1	1	251	220	13
3	Storhamar (W)	8	6	0	2	221	178	12
4	Tertnes (W)	8	6	0	2	272	226	12
5	Sola (W)	7	5	1	1	212	176	11
6	Molde (W)	8	5	0	3	223	201	10
7	Fjellhammer (W)	8	4	2	2	237	226	10
8	Byasen (W)	8	4	1	3	216	207	9
9	Fana (W)	7	2	1	4	193	205	5
10	Follo HK (W)	8	2	0	6	224	263	4
11	Gjerpen (W)	8	2	0	6	196	245	4
12	Oppsal (W)	8	1	0	7	208	259	2
13	Utleira (W)	8	1	0	7	181	233	2
14	Flint Tonsberg (W)	8	0	0	8	201	255	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molde (W)	Tertnes (W)
Larvik (W)	25-35 L	34-38 L
Storhamar (W)	21-18 W	27-35 L
Byasen (W)	26-27 L	38-28 W
Utleira (W)	32-23 W	36-24 W
Follo HK (W)	29-32 L	39-30 W
Fana (W)	31-20 W	31-27 W
Oppsal (W)	33-23 W	36-24 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tertnes (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molde (W)

LLWWWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-35	L
14/10	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-18	W
07/10	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-27	L
30/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-23	W
20/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-32	L
12/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-20	W
05/09	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-23	W
30/08	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
14/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-29	L
11/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-39	L

Tertnes (W)

LLWWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-20	W
15/10	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-38	L
07/10	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-35	L
30/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	38-28	W
20/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-24	W
10/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	39-30	W
06/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-27	W
30/08	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-24	W
03/05	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-36	L
29/04	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molde (W) vs Tertnes (W)?

Our model gives 64% to Molde (W).

How many points are expected in Molde (W) vs Tertnes (W)?

The model estimates 57.8 total points (Molde (W) 29.2 · Tertnes (W) 28.5).