Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 07/10, 18:00

Prediction: Larvik (W) vs Gjerpen (W)

Team pages: Larvik (W) · Gjerpen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.1Total

Larvik (W)31.5

Gjerpen (W)26.6

1X2

82% 18%

Larvik (W) Gjerpen (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Larvik (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Gjerpen (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Larvik (W) 5–1 Gjerpen (W) (6 last)

Gjerpen (W)30-34Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)24-23Gjerpen (W)
Larvik (W)34-24Gjerpen (W)
Gjerpen (W)22-26Larvik (W)
Gjerpen (W)27-32Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)23-32Gjerpen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Larvik (W) 1570 · Gjerpen (W) 1468

	Larvik (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Our model	73%	27%
Market	81%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 58.1 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.1Larvik (W) 31.5 · Gjerpen (W) 26.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larvik (W) (rating 1570 vs 1468).
Larvik (W) is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Larvik (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Larvik (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.9 / 27.1	26.2 / 28.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 25.4	24.4 / 30.4
Est. result	32	27

Est. total58.1

Line O/U56.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

X12.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.90

2 (+6.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 56.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:15 +52’	1.10	12.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Larvik (W) 5–0–1 Gjerpen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/01/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	30-34	Larvik (W)
29/08/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	24-23	Gjerpen (W)
29/01/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	34-24	Gjerpen (W)
02/01/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	22-26	Larvik (W)
02/10/24 Norway Cup Women	Gjerpen (W)	27-32	Larvik (W)
21/01/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	23-32	Gjerpen (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tertnes (W)	5	5	0	0	180	133	10
2	Larvik (W)	5	5	0	0	162	127	10
3	Sola (W)	4	4	0	0	136	98	8
4	Storhamar (W)	5	4	0	1	142	107	8
5	Molde (W)	5	4	0	1	151	121	8
6	Fredrikstad (W)	5	3	1	1	155	146	7
7	Fjellhammer (W)	5	2	1	2	138	138	5
8	Byasen (W)	5	2	0	3	132	138	4
9	Fana (W)	4	1	0	3	98	116	2
10	Gjerpen (W)	5	1	0	4	122	152	2
11	Oppsal (W)	5	1	0	4	130	162	2
12	Follo HK (W)	5	1	0	4	141	175	2
13	Flint Tonsberg (W)	5	0	0	5	131	164	0
14	Utleira (W)	5	0	0	5	105	146	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Larvik (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Storhamar (W)	27-25 W	18-35 L
Byasen (W)	39-34 W	16-22 L
Tertnes (W)	36-27 W	28-24 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Larvik (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larvik (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-25	W
20/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	39-34	W
10/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-21	W
02/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	40-24	W
30/08	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-23	W
15/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
12/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	22-32	L
03/05	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-27	W
29/04	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-25	W
22/04	Raelingen HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	41-30	W

Gjerpen (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-31	L
30/09	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-35	L
02/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	16-22	L
30/08	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-29	W
26/08	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	18-35	L
03/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-34	L
29/04	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-32	L
22/04	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-18	W
16/04	Baerum Women Norway Eliteserien Women	31-27	W
28/03	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larvik (W) vs Gjerpen (W)?

Our model gives 82% to Larvik (W).

How many points are expected in Larvik (W) vs Gjerpen (W)?

The model estimates 58.1 total points (Larvik (W) 31.5 · Gjerpen (W) 26.6).