Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 14/10, 18:15

Prediction: Molde (W) vs Storhamar (W)

Team pages: Molde (W) · Storhamar (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.3Total

Molde (W)26.9

Storhamar (W)27.3

1X2

31% 69%

Molde (W) Storhamar (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Molde (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWLWL

Storhamar (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Molde (W) 0–1–5 Storhamar (W) (6 last)

Storhamar (W)31-27Molde (W)
Molde (W)21-27Storhamar (W)
Molde (W)23-35Storhamar (W)
Molde (W)29-33Storhamar (W)
Storhamar (W)24-24Molde (W)
Molde (W)22-29Storhamar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molde (W) 1546 · Storhamar (W) 1635

	Molde (W)	Storhamar (W)
Our model	47%	53%
Market	18%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 54.3 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.3Molde (W) 26.9 · Storhamar (W) 27.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Storhamar (W) (rating 1546 vs 1635).
Storhamar (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Storhamar (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Molde (W)	Storhamar (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.3 / 27.3	29.2 / 24.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 25	28.4 / 23.2
Est. result	27	27

Est. total54.3

Line O/U55.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X9.50

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.80

2 (-4.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 55.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00
X	11.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
2	1.18 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:41 +36’	6.00	11.00	1.18
16:59 +16’	5.00▼	9.50▼	1.22▲
18:15	5.00	9.50	1.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Molde (W) 0–1–5 Storhamar (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	31-27	Molde (W)
05/11/25 Norway Cup Women	Molde (W)	21-27	Storhamar (W)
30/08/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	23-35	Storhamar (W)
02/03/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	29-33	Storhamar (W)
11/09/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	24-24	Molde (W)
19/03/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Molde (W)	22-29	Storhamar (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	6	6	0	0	197	152	12
2	Sola (W)	6	5	1	0	189	150	11
3	Storhamar (W)	7	5	0	2	195	155	10
4	Molde (W)	7	5	0	2	198	166	10
5	Tertnes (W)	6	5	0	1	207	168	10
6	Fredrikstad (W)	6	4	1	1	185	175	9
7	Fjellhammer (W)	6	3	1	2	174	164	7
8	Byasen (W)	7	3	1	3	184	189	7
9	Follo HK (W)	6	2	0	4	172	203	4
10	Gjerpen (W)	7	2	0	5	176	214	4
11	Fana (W)	5	1	0	4	127	146	2
12	Oppsal (W)	7	1	0	6	183	227	2
13	Flint Tonsberg (W)	6	0	0	6	159	195	0
14	Utleira (W)	6	0	0	6	132	174	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molde (W)	Storhamar (W)
Byasen (W)	26-27 L	28-21 W
Utleira (W)	32-23 W	26-20 W
Follo HK (W)	29-32 L	28-21 W
Sola (W)	28-29 L	28-23 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Storhamar (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molde (W)

WDLLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-27	L
30/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-23	W
20/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-32	L
12/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-20	W
05/09	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-23	W
30/08	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
14/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-29	L
11/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-39	L
07/05	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-31	D
03/05	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-26	W

Storhamar (W)

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-27	W
30/09	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-27	L
08/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-21	W
02/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-20	W
30/08	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-21	W
26/08	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-18	W
31/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-23	W
28/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-29	L
22/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-29	W
15/05	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molde (W) vs Storhamar (W)?

Our model gives 69% to Storhamar (W).

How many points are expected in Molde (W) vs Storhamar (W)?

The model estimates 54.3 total points (Molde (W) 26.9 · Storhamar (W) 27.3).