Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 15/10, 18:30

Prediction: Fredrikstad (W) vs Follo HK (W)

Team pages: Fredrikstad (W) · Follo HK (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.1Total

Fredrikstad (W)31.8

Follo HK (W)28.4

1X2

65% 35%

Fredrikstad (W) Follo HK (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Fredrikstad (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWDWWW

Follo HK (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Fredrikstad (W) 3–1–2 Follo HK (W) (6 last)

Fredrikstad (W)27-27Follo HK (W)
Follo HK (W)29-28Fredrikstad (W)
Follo HK (W)25-28Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)21-33Follo HK (W)
Fredrikstad (W)33-20Follo HK (W)
Follo HK (W)25-28Fredrikstad (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fredrikstad (W) 1560 · Follo HK (W) 1502

	Fredrikstad (W)	Follo HK (W)
Our model	68%	32%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 60.1 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.1Fredrikstad (W) 31.8 · Follo HK (W) 28.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fredrikstad (W) (rating 1560 vs 1502).
Fredrikstad (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Fredrikstad (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fredrikstad (W)	Follo HK (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 28.3	27.9 / 32.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 28.4	30.2 / 35
Est. result	32	28

Est. total60.1

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.95

Under 58.51.75

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 59.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:04 +11’	1.60	8.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredrikstad (W) 3–1–2 Follo HK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	27-27	Follo HK (W)
14/09/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	29-28	Fredrikstad (W)
16/03/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	25-28	Fredrikstad (W)
01/09/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	21-33	Follo HK (W)
18/02/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	33-20	Follo HK (W)
08/10/23 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	25-28	Fredrikstad (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	6	6	0	0	197	152	12
2	Storhamar (W)	6	5	0	1	177	134	10
3	Sola (W)	5	5	0	0	164	125	10
4	Tertnes (W)	6	5	0	1	207	168	10
5	Fredrikstad (W)	6	4	1	1	185	175	9
6	Molde (W)	6	4	0	2	177	148	8
7	Fjellhammer (W)	6	3	1	2	174	164	7
8	Byasen (W)	6	3	0	3	159	164	6
9	Follo HK (W)	6	2	0	4	172	203	4
10	Fana (W)	5	1	0	4	127	146	2
11	Gjerpen (W)	6	1	0	5	147	187	2
12	Oppsal (W)	6	1	0	5	156	198	2
13	Flint Tonsberg (W)	6	0	0	6	159	195	0
14	Utleira (W)	6	0	0	6	132	174	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredrikstad (W)	Follo HK (W)
Oppsal (W)	33-26 W	28-25 W
Fjellhammer (W)	29-29 D	23-32 L
Flint Tonsberg (W)	38-28 W	31-28 W
Sola (W)	20-33 L	34-39 L
Storhamar (W)	28-30 L	21-28 L
Molde (W)	30-30 D	32-29 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fredrikstad (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredrikstad (W)

WDLLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-29	W
03/10	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-26	W
30/09	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-30	W
20/09	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-29	D
10/09	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	38-28	W
30/08	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-33	L
04/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
29/04	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	24-31	L
22/04	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-30	D
16/04	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-17	W

Follo HK (W)

LDLWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-28	W
30/09	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-39	L
20/09	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-29	W
10/09	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-39	L
02/09	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	24-40	L
30/08	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-28	L
22/04	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-25	W
15/04	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-35	L
29/03	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-26	D
22/03	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	23-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredrikstad (W) vs Follo HK (W)?

Our model gives 65% to Fredrikstad (W).

How many points are expected in Fredrikstad (W) vs Follo HK (W)?

The model estimates 60.1 total points (Fredrikstad (W) 31.8 · Follo HK (W) 28.4).