Football · Mongolia Premier League · 13/11, 09:00

Prediction: Deren FC vs Central Stallions

Team pages: Deren FC · Central Stallions

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.2Total
Deren FC1.89
Central Stallions2.3
1X2
32% 21% 47%
Deren FC Draw Central Stallions
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Deren FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWLDLW
Central Stallions 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLWDLW
Head-to-head
Deren FC 2–1–3 Central Stallions (6 last)
  • Central Stallions3-3Deren FC
  • Central Stallions2-1Deren FC
  • Central Stallions0-3Deren FC
  • Deren FC2-0Central Stallions
  • Deren FC1-2Central Stallions
  • Central Stallions1-0Deren FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deren FC 1564 · Central Stallions 1551
Deren FCDrawCentral Stallions
Our model32%21%47%
Market32%20%48%
Estimated total (ours) 4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Central Stallions: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deren FCCentral Stallions
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 1.23.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.41.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 52.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deren FC 2–1–3 Central Stallions

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/11/26
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions3-3
HT 1-1
Deren FC
11/10/26
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions2-1
HT 1-0
Deren FC
03/07/26
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions0-3
HT 0-1
Deren FC
24/06/26
Mongolia Premier League
Deren FC2-0
HT 1-0
Central Stallions
14/06/26
Mongolia Premier League
Deren FC1-2
HT 0-1
Central Stallions
30/10/25
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions1-0
HT 1-0
Deren FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeren FCCentral Stallions
FC Ulaanbaatar 4-1 W 2-3 L
Hunters FC 1-2 L 3-2 W
Khans Khuns-Erchim 5-0 W 4-1 W
Khovd Western 5-1 W 8-4 W
Ulaangom City FC 5-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deren FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deren FC

DWWWLWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/11 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 4-1 54 W
06/11 Hunters FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-2 1-2 53 L
02/11 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 3-3 25 D
29/10 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 0-1 17 L
14/10 Khans Khuns-Erchim
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 5-0 40 W
11/10 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 1-2 12 L
01/10 Khovd Western
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 5-1 54 W
27/09 Amtat FC
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 5-2 75 W
20/09 Ulaangom City FC
Mongolia Premier League
5-0 5-0 122 W
17/09 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 0-0 86 D

Central Stallions

WWWWLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/11 Hunters FC
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 3-2 104 W
06/11 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
1-3 2-3 310 L
02/11 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 3-3 35 D
29/10 Hunters FC
Mongolia Premier League
3-1 7-1 61 W
25/10 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 0-1 66 L
18/10 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 0-2 86 L
11/10 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-0 2-1 32 W
04/10 Khovd Western
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 8-4 73 W
01/10 Khans Khuns-Erchim
Mongolia Premier League
1-0 4-1 50 W
26/09 Ulaangom City FC
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 4-1 71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deren FC vs Central Stallions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Central Stallions win (47%). Probabilities: Deren FC 32%, draw 21%, Central Stallions 47%.

How many goals are expected in Deren FC vs Central Stallions?

The model expects 4.2 goals (Deren FC 1.89 · Central Stallions 2.3), with a 58% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deren FC vs Central Stallions?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.