Football · Mongolia Premier League · 06/11, 09:00

Prediction: Hunters FC vs Deren FC

Team pages: Hunters FC · Deren FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.9Total
Hunters FC1.7
Deren FC3.19
1X2
18% 16% 67%
Hunters FC Draw Deren FC
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-3 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Hunters FC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWWWLL
Deren FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWLWLD
Head-to-head
Hunters FC 0–1–3 Deren FC (4 last)
  • Deren FC1-1Hunters FC
  • Hunters FC0-1Deren FC
  • Hunters FC0-4Deren FC
  • Deren FC2-0Hunters FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hunters FC 1520 · Deren FC 1568
Hunters FCDrawDeren FC
Our model18%16%66%
Market18%15%67%
Estimated total (ours) 4.9 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deren FC (rating 1520 vs 1568).
  • H2H favours Deren FC: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hunters FCDeren FC
Goals for / against (FT)4 / 3.13 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 11.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.62.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hunters FC 0–1–3 Deren FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Mongolia Premier League
Deren FC1-1
HT 1-0
Hunters FC
14/10/25
Mongolia Premier League
Hunters FC0-1
HT 0-0
Deren FC
14/06/25
Mongolia Premier League
Hunters FC0-4
HT 0-3
Deren FC
16/03/25
Mongolia Premier League
Deren FC2-0
HT 1-0
Hunters FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHunters FCDeren FC
FC Ulaanbaatar 1-9 L 0-1 L
Central Stallions 1-7 L 3-3 D
Khovd Western 6-2 W 5-1 W
Amtat FC 6-1 W 5-2 W
Ulaangom City FC 4-2 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deren FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hunters FC

WWLLWWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-5 1-9 33 L
29/10 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
1-3 1-7 61 L
15/10 Khovd FC
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 6-1 42 W
10/10 Khovd Western
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 6-2 52 W
05/10 Amtat FC
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 6-1 64 W
30/09 Ulaangom City FC
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 4-2 –– W
27/09 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 3-5 03 L
17/09 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 0-3 21 L
04/07 Ulaangom City FC
Mongolia Premier League
4-0 11-1 31 W
28/06 Khovd Western
Mongolia Premier League
1-0 2-0 124 W

Deren FC

WWDWWWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 3-3 25 D
29/10 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 0-1 17 L
14/10 Khans Khuns-Erchim
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 5-0 40 W
11/10 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 1-2 12 L
01/10 Khovd Western
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 5-1 54 W
27/09 Amtat FC
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 5-2 75 W
20/09 Ulaangom City FC
Mongolia Premier League
5-0 5-0 122 W
17/09 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 0-0 86 D
06/07 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 3-2 32 W
03/07 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
1-0 3-0 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hunters FC vs Deren FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deren FC win (67%). Probabilities: Hunters FC 18%, draw 16%, Deren FC 67%.

How many goals are expected in Hunters FC vs Deren FC?

The model expects 4.9 goals (Hunters FC 1.7 · Deren FC 3.19), with a 54% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hunters FC vs Deren FC?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.