Football · Colombia Primera A · 14/11, 21:30

Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Jaguares de Cordoba

Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Jaguares de Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Cucuta Deportivo1.89

Jaguares de Cordoba1.07

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Cucuta Deportivo Draw Jaguares de Cordoba

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cucuta Deportivo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLWL

Jaguares de Cordoba 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Cucuta Deportivo 3–1–2 Jaguares de Cordoba (6 last)

Jaguares de Cordoba2-0Cucuta Deportivo
Jaguares de Cordoba1-2Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo2-2Jaguares de Cordoba
Cucuta Deportivo1-2Jaguares de Cordoba
Jaguares de Cordoba1-2Cucuta Deportivo
Jaguares de Cordoba0-3Cucuta Deportivo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cucuta Deportivo (rating 1493 vs 1424).
H2H favours Cucuta Deportivo: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cucuta Deportivo	Jaguares de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	6.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.67
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	4.61 → 4.61	Pinn 4.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:09 +7’	1.67	3.88	4.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 3–1–2 Jaguares de Cordoba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	2-0 HT 0-0	Cucuta Deportivo
15/11/25 Colombia Primera B	Jaguares de Cordoba	1-2 HT 0-1	Cucuta Deportivo
11/11/25 Colombia Primera B	Cucuta Deportivo	2-2 HT 0-1	Jaguares de Cordoba
21/09/25 Colombia Primera B	Cucuta Deportivo	1-2 HT 0-0	Jaguares de Cordoba
01/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Jaguares de Cordoba	1-2 HT 1-2	Cucuta Deportivo
11/03/20 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	0-3 HT 0-1	Cucuta Deportivo

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional Medellin	18	12	3	3	37	17	39
2	America de Cali	18	10	6	2	31	12	36
3	Deportivo Cali	18	9	7	2	26	10	34
4	Atletico Bucaramanga	18	8	8	2	30	17	32
5	Independiente Santa Fe	18	9	4	5	28	18	31
6	Independiente Medellin	18	9	2	7	28	25	29
7	Millonarios	18	6	9	3	25	16	27
8	Once Caldas	18	7	6	5	22	18	27
9	Deportes Tolima	18	7	5	6	23	21	26
10	Aguilas Doradas	18	6	7	5	22	21	25
11	Cucuta Deportivo	18	7	3	8	19	26	24
12	Llaneros	18	7	2	9	21	24	23
13	Internacional de Bogota	18	4	8	6	22	25	20
14	Junior	18	4	7	7	25	27	19
15	Boyaca Chico	18	5	4	9	15	29	19
16	Alianza	18	5	3	10	18	31	18
17	Deportivo Pereira	18	3	8	7	16	26	17
18	Deportivo Pasto	18	4	3	11	13	29	15
19	Jaguares de Cordoba	18	3	4	11	17	35	13
20	Fortaleza CEIF	18	1	9	8	17	28	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cucuta Deportivo	Jaguares de Cordoba
Independiente Santa Fe	1-0 W	1-2 L
Aguilas Doradas	0-2 L	0-2 L
Deportivo Pereira	4-0 W	0-1 L
Llaneros	2-1 W	1-0 W
Millonarios	1-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cucuta Deportivo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cucuta Deportivo

LLWWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Junior Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
05/11	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
28/10	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-2	0-2	13	5	L
25/10	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
21/10	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
12/10	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
04/10	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	3-0	4-0	6	10	W
27/09	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	2-0	2-1	2	8	W
20/09	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
14/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	7	2	L

Jaguares de Cordoba

LLLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	0-2	0-4	5	5	L
04/11	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	0	7	L
30/10	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
27/10	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	6	10	W
22/10	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
18/10	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-2	1-4	0	11	L
11/10	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	1-0	3-2	1	6	W
03/10	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	5	9	L
27/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
23/09	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cucuta Deportivo win (56%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 56%, draw 24%, Jaguares de Cordoba 20%.

How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 1.89 · Jaguares de Cordoba 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.