Football · Colombia Primera A · 12/11, 22:00
Prediction: Llaneros vs Boyaca Chico
Team pages: Llaneros · Boyaca Chico
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Llaneros1.68
Boyaca Chico0.76
1X2
Llaneros
Draw
Boyaca Chico
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Llaneros
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Boyaca Chico
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Llaneros
3–1–2
Boyaca Chico
(6 last)
- Boyaca Chico0-1Llaneros
- Boyaca Chico3-0Llaneros
- Llaneros2-1Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico2-2Llaneros
- Boyaca Chico3-0Llaneros
- Llaneros1-0Boyaca Chico
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Llaneros 1474 · Boyaca Chico 1462
| Llaneros | Draw | Boyaca Chico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Llaneros: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Llaneros | Boyaca Chico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Llaneros 3–1–2 Boyaca Chico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Colombia Cup | Boyaca Chico | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Llaneros |
| 02/05/26 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
| 23/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 08/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Llaneros |
| 02/11/22 Colombia Primera B | Boyaca Chico | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
| 18/10/22 Colombia Primera B | Llaneros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boyaca Chico |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Llaneros | Boyaca Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Junior | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Cali | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Internacional de Bogota | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Llaneros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/10 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 22/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 21/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Boyaca Chico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Llaneros vs Boyaca Chico?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Llaneros win (59%). Probabilities: Llaneros 59%, draw 26%, Boyaca Chico 16%.
How many goals are expected in Llaneros vs Boyaca Chico?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Llaneros 1.68 · Boyaca Chico 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Llaneros vs Boyaca Chico?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.