Football · USA NWSL Women · 14/11, 18:00
Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Utah Royals (W)
Team pages: Washington Spirit (W) · Utah Royals (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Washington Spirit (W)1.66
Utah Royals (W)0.82
1X2
Washington Spirit (W)
Draw
Utah Royals (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Washington Spirit (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Utah Royals (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Washington Spirit (W)
3–2–1
Utah Royals (W)
(6 last)
- Utah Royals (W)0-1Washington Spirit (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)1-1Utah Royals (W)
- Utah Royals (W)1-0Washington Spirit (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)3-3Utah Royals (W)
- Utah Royals (W)0-1Washington Spirit (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)2-1Utah Royals (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1556 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Washington Spirit (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Washington Spirit (W) | Utah Royals (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 3–2–1 Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 26/03/26 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 02/11/25 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 18/05/25 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 3-3 HT 2-3 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 09/06/24 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 31/03/24 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 61 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave (W) | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 58 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 55 |
| 4 | Kansas City Current (W) | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 39 | 53 |
| 5 | Angel City FC (W) | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 32 | 52 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns (W) | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 41 | 50 |
| 7 | Utah Royals (W) | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 47 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 42 | 45 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 42 | 41 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride (W) | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 47 | 36 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 44 | 33 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 53 | 33 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 47 | 27 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 38 | 62 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 30 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 71 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Washington Spirit (W) | Utah Royals (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Current (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Houston Dash (W) | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Angel City FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/09 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 56%, draw 27%, Utah Royals (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 1.66 · Utah Royals (W) 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Utah Royals (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.