Football · Argentina Championship Women · 12/11, 19:00

Prediction: Banfield (W) vs River Plate (W)

Team pages: Banfield (W) · River Plate (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Banfield (W)1.29

River Plate (W)1.11

1X2

39% 30% 31%

Banfield (W) Draw River Plate (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Banfield (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDWWLW

River Plate (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Banfield (W) 1–5 River Plate (W) (6 last)

River Plate (W)4-1Banfield (W)
Banfield (W)0-1River Plate (W)
River Plate (W)3-0Banfield (W)
River Plate (W)0-2Banfield (W)
Banfield (W)0-1River Plate (W)
Banfield (W)0-1River Plate (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1551 · River Plate (W) 1535

	Banfield (W)	Draw	River Plate (W)
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	40%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours River Plate (W): 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banfield (W)	River Plate (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	2.1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.25▼	Pinn 2.30
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.13 ★
2	2.63 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.02

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:04	2.40	3.00	2.63
23:46 +16’	2.25▼	3.00	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +13’	2.30	3.13	3.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 1–0–5 River Plate (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/07/26 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	4-1	Banfield (W)
09/08/25 Argentina Championship Women	Banfield (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	River Plate (W)
15/03/25 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Banfield (W)
07/11/24 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Banfield (W)
25/03/24 Argentina Championship Women	Banfield (W)	0-1	River Plate (W)
25/03/24 Argentina Championship Women	Banfield (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	River Plate (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors (W)	12	8	2	2	19	9	26
2	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	11	7	3	1	20	9	24
3	Banfield (W)	12	7	3	2	18	9	24
4	San Luis FC (W)	12	8	0	4	20	15	24
5	San Lorenzo (W)	11	6	4	1	22	9	22
6	Belgrano (W)	12	6	2	4	20	12	20
7	Racing Club (W)	12	5	3	4	22	14	18
8	River Plate (W)	9	5	2	2	14	7	17
9	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
10	Social Atletico Television (W)	12	4	5	3	10	8	17
11	Lanus (W)	12	4	4	4	10	12	16
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	12	2	4	6	12	22	10
13	CA Independiente Women	12	3	0	9	14	32	9
14	Huracan (W)	12	2	2	8	11	21	8
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	12	2	1	9	6	20	7
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	12	0	1	11	4	25	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banfield (W)	River Plate (W)
Gimnasia LP (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Newell's Old Boys (W)	3-1 W	1-0 W
Racing Club (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Boca Juniors (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Lanus (W)	3-2 W	0-0 D
San Luis FC (W)	3-1 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Banfield (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banfield (W)

WWDWDDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/11	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
04/10	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
26/09	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
18/09	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
11/09	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
05/09	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
01/09	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/08	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
16/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	3-2	3-2	5	3	W
09/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	3-1	5	2	W

River Plate (W)

LLWWWDDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
03/10	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
30/09	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/09	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
23/09	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-1	5-1	6	3	W
09/08	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
03/08	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/07	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
17/07	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banfield (W) vs River Plate (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Banfield (W) 39%, draw 30%, River Plate (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Banfield (W) vs River Plate (W)?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Banfield (W) 1.29 · River Plate (W) 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Banfield (W) vs River Plate (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.