Football · Argentina Championship Women · 17/11, 18:00
Prediction: CA Independiente Women vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
Team pages: CA Independiente Women · Newell's Old Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
CA Independiente Women1.32
Newell's Old Boys (W)1.15
1X2
CA Independiente Women
Draw
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente Women
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Newell's Old Boys (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Independiente Women
2–1–2
Newell's Old Boys (W)
(5 last)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women1-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- CA Independiente Women0-3Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)1-0CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women1-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Independiente Women 1448 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1390
| CA Independiente Women | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente Women (rating 1448 vs 1390).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 0.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente Women 2–1–2 Newell's Old Boys (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 14/09/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 08/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 10/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 23/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 13 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 10 |
| 14 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 9 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 25 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Independiente Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club (W) | 1-5 L | 1-4 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Huracan (W) | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/11 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/11 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente Women vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente Women win (40%). Probabilities: CA Independiente Women 40%, draw 29%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 32%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente Women vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.47 goals (CA Independiente Women 1.32 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente Women vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.