Football · Argentina Championship Women · 16/11, 21:00

Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs Banfield (W)

Team pages: Belgrano (W) · Banfield (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Belgrano (W)1.36

Banfield (W)0.79

1X2

50% 29% 21%

Belgrano (W) Draw Banfield (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Belgrano (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLDLWL

Banfield (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Belgrano (W) 3–2–1 Banfield (W) (6 last)

Banfield (W)0-1Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)1-1Banfield (W)
Belgrano (W)3-0Banfield (W)
Banfield (W)3-1Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)1-1Banfield (W)
Banfield (W)0-1Belgrano (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belgrano (W) 1502 · Banfield (W) 1550

	Belgrano (W)	Draw	Banfield (W)
Our model	49%	31%	21%
Market	51%	27%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banfield (W) (rating 1502 vs 1550).
H2H favours Belgrano (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belgrano (W)	Banfield (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	2.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.25

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.77
X	3.00 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.30
2	3.10 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.59 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.9% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:59 +5’	2.15	3.00	3.10
20:22 +42’	2.10▼	3.00	3.25▲
22:01 +1’	1.75▼	3.25▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +2’	1.77	3.30	4.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 3–2–1 Banfield (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/26 Argentina Championship Women	Banfield (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
06/05/25 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Banfield (W)
07/12/24 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Banfield (W)
20/07/24 Argentina Championship Women	Banfield (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Belgrano (W)
27/08/23 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Banfield (W)
31/03/23 Argentina Championship Women	Banfield (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors (W)	13	9	2	2	24	9	29
2	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	12	8	3	1	22	9	27
3	Banfield (W)	13	8	3	2	20	9	27
4	San Luis FC (W)	13	8	0	5	20	17	24
5	San Lorenzo (W)	12	6	4	2	23	13	22
6	Racing Club (W)	13	6	3	4	27	15	21
7	Belgrano (W)	13	6	2	5	21	14	20
8	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	12	6	2	4	23	17	20
9	River Plate (W)	10	5	2	3	14	9	17
10	Social Atletico Television (W)	13	4	5	4	10	13	17
11	Lanus (W)	13	4	4	5	10	16	16
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
13	Gimnasia LP (W)	13	3	1	9	8	21	10
14	Huracan (W)	13	2	3	8	11	21	9
15	CA Independiente Women	13	3	0	10	15	37	9
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	13	0	2	11	4	25	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belgrano (W)	Banfield (W)
Gimnasia LP (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Newell's Old Boys (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Racing Club (W)	1-3 L	1-0 W
San Lorenzo (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	0-3 L	0-0 D
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	3-1 W	2-1 W
Boca Juniors (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Lanus (W)	3-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belgrano (W)

DLWWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
06/11	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
02/10	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-3	2	7	L
27/09	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
19/09	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
11/09	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
05/09	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
30/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
22/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
16/08	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	10	0	D

Banfield (W)

WDWDDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
05/11	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
04/10	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
26/09	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
18/09	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
11/09	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
05/09	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
01/09	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/08	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
16/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	3-2	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs Banfield (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 50%, draw 29%, Banfield (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs Banfield (W)?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Belgrano (W) 1.36 · Banfield (W) 0.79), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs Banfield (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.