Football · Senegal Premier League · 14/11, 18:00
Prediction: ASC HLM vs US Goree
Team pages: ASC HLM · US Goree
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
ASC HLM0.94
US Goree1
1X2
ASC HLM
Draw
US Goree
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
ASC HLM
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
US Goree
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASC HLM
1–1–4
US Goree
(6 last)
- US Goree1-1ASC HLM
- US Goree0-2ASC HLM
- ASC HLM0-5US Goree
- US Goree1-0ASC HLM
- US Goree1-0ASC HLM
- ASC HLM1-2US Goree
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASC HLM 1541 · US Goree 1535
| ASC HLM | Draw | US Goree | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 34% | 35% |
| Market | 31% | 34% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours US Goree: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASC HLM | US Goree | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASC HLM 1–1–4 US Goree
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Senegal Premier League | US Goree | 1-1 HT 1-0 | ASC HLM |
| 19/02/26 Senegal League Cup | US Goree | 0-2 HT 0-2 | ASC HLM |
| 11/01/26 Senegal Premier League | ASC HLM | 0-5 HT 0-0 | US Goree |
| 26/04/25 Senegal Premier League | US Goree | 1-0 | ASC HLM |
| 26/03/25 Senegal League Cup | US Goree | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ASC HLM |
| 19/02/25 Senegal League Cup | ASC HLM | 1-2 HT 1-1 | US Goree |
Standings · Senegal Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Goree | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | ASC HLM | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | ASC Jaraaf | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Guediawaye FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Ajel de Rufisque | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Generation Foot | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Diambars FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Teungueth FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Walidaan DKR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade de Mbour | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Casa Sport | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | AS Pikine | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | US Ouakam | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Essamaye FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | ASC Linguere | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASC HLM | US Goree |
|---|---|---|
| Stade de Mbour | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| ASC Linguere | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASC HLM
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/10 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Diambars FC Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | AS Pikine Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | SONACOS Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
US Goree
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Essamaye FC Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/05 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASC HLM vs US Goree?
According to our model, the most likely result is an US Goree win (34%). Probabilities: ASC HLM 31%, draw 34%, US Goree 34%.
How many goals are expected in ASC HLM vs US Goree?
The model expects 1.94 goals (ASC HLM 0.94 · US Goree 1), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ASC HLM vs US Goree?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.