Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: OFK Malzenice vs STK Samorin

Team pages: OFK Malzenice · STK Samorin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

OFK Malzenice1.26

STK Samorin1.55

1X2

30% 26% 43%

OFK Malzenice Draw STK Samorin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Malzenice 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLDWD

STK Samorin 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDDWD

Head-to-head

OFK Malzenice 1–5 STK Samorin (6 last)

STK Samorin2-0OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice2-3STK Samorin
STK Samorin2-0OFK Malzenice
STK Samorin1-0OFK Malzenice
STK Samorin1-0OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice2-1STK Samorin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Malzenice 1462 · STK Samorin 1594

	OFK Malzenice	Draw	STK Samorin
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	31%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours STK Samorin (rating 1462 vs 1594).
H2H favours STK Samorin: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Malzenice	STK Samorin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	6.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +4’	3.00	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Malzenice 1–0–5 STK Samorin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	2-0 HT 0-0	OFK Malzenice
08/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	2-3 HT 0-3	STK Samorin
30/01/26 Czechia Tipsport Liga	STK Samorin	2-0 HT 2-0	OFK Malzenice
25/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	1-0 HT 0-0	OFK Malzenice
30/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	1-0 HT 1-0	OFK Malzenice
01/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	2-1 HT 0-0	STK Samorin

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	STK Samorin	15	10	3	2	27	16	33
2	FC Petrzalka	15	9	3	3	23	11	30
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	15	9	2	4	29	24	29
4	FC Tatran Presov	15	7	4	4	24	19	25
5	MSK Zilina B	15	7	3	5	21	18	24
6	FK Pohronie	15	7	3	5	23	19	24
7	Slovan Galanta	15	7	2	6	23	26	23
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	15	6	4	5	22	18	22
9	OFK Banik Lehota	15	6	4	5	22	22	22
10	Inter Bratislava	15	5	6	4	33	22	21
11	Slovan Bratislava B	15	4	6	5	22	20	18
12	OFK Malzenice	15	4	4	7	21	23	16
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	15	3	5	7	14	19	14
14	FK Humenne	15	3	4	8	14	25	13
15	MFK Zvolen	15	2	3	10	15	24	9
16	MFK Bytca	15	3	0	12	14	41	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Malzenice	STK Samorin
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3-0 W	0-0 D
FK Pohronie	0-0 D	2-1 W
Inter Bratislava	2-5 L	2-2 D
FC Petrzalka	1-1 D	1-1 D
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	1-2 L	0-2 L
MFK Zvolen	2-1 W	3-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	0-1 L	1-0 W
Slovan Galanta	0-1 L	3-2 W
MFK Bytca	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: STK Samorin (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OFK Malzenice

WLLWLDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	10	6	D
25/10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
16/10	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
11/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-5	7	8	L
04/10	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
27/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	7	W
13/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
05/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
31/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	6	3	W

STK Samorin

WWWWWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
24/10	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
17/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
11/10	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
05/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
26/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
19/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
12/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	8	W
05/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
29/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Malzenice vs STK Samorin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an STK Samorin win (43%). Probabilities: OFK Malzenice 30%, draw 26%, STK Samorin 43%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Malzenice vs STK Samorin?

The model expects 2.8 goals (OFK Malzenice 1.26 · STK Samorin 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Malzenice vs STK Samorin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.